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Commodity Price And Inflation Dynamics: Evidence From Briics

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Aun R. Rizvi

    (Lahore University of Management Science)

  • Sahminan Sahminan

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

In this study, we use a commodity augmented Phillips curve to investigate the impact of global commodity prices on domestic inflation in Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, and South Africa. Oil and energy prices cause inflationary pressures in all countries, except Russia, where they cause deflationary pressures. In Indiaand Indonesia, global food prices are highly significant and positively related to inflation, while in South Africa precious metal prices impact inflation negatively. For policymakers, this study provides insights on the domestic adjustments required for inflation targeting in response to global commodity price volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Aun R. Rizvi & Sahminan Sahminan, 2020. "Commodity Price And Inflation Dynamics: Evidence From Briics," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 23(4), pages 485-500, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:23:y:2020:i:4b:p:485-500
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v23i4.1418
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Yufeng & Yang, Shuo, 2021. "Time-varying effect of international iron ore price on China’s inflation: A complete price chain with TVP-SVAR-SV model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Elias A. Udeaja & Silva Opuala-Charles, 2022. "Central Bank Independence And Price Stability Under Alternative Political Regimes: A Global Evidence," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(2), pages 155-172, August.
    3. Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Pathirage, Kasun, 2023. "COVID-19 policy actions and inflation targeting in South Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity prices; Inflation; BRIICS; Augmented Phillips curv;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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