IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hin/jnlmpe/4691641.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic Spreading Model of Passenger Group Panic considering Official Guidance Information in Subway Emergencies

Author

Listed:
  • Jiayang Li
  • Jiafu Tang
  • Dan Wang

Abstract

Safety concerns are increasing as rail transportation develops at a fast pace. When emergencies erupt in the course of transportation, panic will spread among passengers. Subway operators should understand how the emotions of passengers spread and how the guidance instructions work, in order to effectively deter the transmission of panic. Based on the models of system dynamics, transmission dynamics, and contagious disease, the essay constructs a dynamic transmission model for passenger panic inside the carriage, incorporating the official guidance instructions. Then, the essay utilizes Routh–Hurwitz criteria and analyzes the stability equilibrium of the dynamic differential equation. Mathematical analysis and simulation tests have verified the validity of the model and stability conditions. Finally, it is proved in the essay by mathematical analysis and simulation tests that official guidance instructions can effectively control the spread of panic and quickly stabilize the system. Thus, the essay helps subway operators to come up with clear official guidance, so as to find quick solutions and prevent escalation of panic due to lack of trust.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiayang Li & Jiafu Tang & Dan Wang, 2019. "Dynamic Spreading Model of Passenger Group Panic considering Official Guidance Information in Subway Emergencies," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-17, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnlmpe:4691641
    DOI: 10.1155/2019/4691641
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/MPE/2019/4691641.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/MPE/2019/4691641.xml
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1155/2019/4691641?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cheng, Yingying & Huo, Liang’an & Zhao, Laijun, 2020. "Rumor spreading in complex networks under stochastic node activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    2. Kogan, Konstantin & Herbon, Avi, 2022. "Retailing under panic buying and consumer stockpiling: Can governmental intervention make a difference?," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hin:jnlmpe:4691641. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mohamed Abdelhakeem (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.hindawi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.