Advancing Traffic Simulation Precision and Scalability: A Data-Driven Approach Utilizing Deep Neural Networks

In traditional traffic simulation studies, vehicle behavior has typically been modeled using complex analytical frameworks, which often struggle to encompass the full range of variables affecting vehicle operations. Addressing this gap, our research introduces an innovative data-driven framework for traffic simulation that incorporates human driving data into its decision-making processes. This enables the modeling of diverse vehicle behaviors by taking into account both vehicle-specific characteristics and environmental factors. At the core of this framework are two advanced deep neural networks, convolutional long short-term memory and convolutional gated recurrent unit, which underpin our vehicle traffic simulation model. Utilizing datasets from the Next Generation Simulation project, specifically the I-80 and US-101 road sections, our study further evaluates the framework’s performance through single-step continuous prediction, as well as transferability tests, employing the TransMSEloss function to optimize prediction accuracy. Our findings reveal that the proposed data-driven model significantly outperforms traditional models, achieving an exceptional accuracy of 97.22% in training and 95.76% in testing. Notably, in continuous prediction, our model maintains an 89.57% accuracy up to the fifth step, exceeding the traditional framework’s 82.82% by 5% to 10% at each step. Time cost analysis indicates that while the data-driven framework’s advantages are more pronounced in large-scale simulations, it also demonstrates strong transferability, with a 93.48% accuracy on diverse datasets, showcasing its applicability across different traffic scenarios. This study not only highlights the potential of deep learning in traffic simulation, but also sets a new benchmark for accuracy and scalability in the field.