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Multi-Risk Source Oil Spill Risk Assessment Based on a Fuzzy Inference System

Author

Listed:
  • Yao Jiang

    (College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China
    Transportation Satety Research Center, China Academy of Transportation Science, Beijing 100029, China)

  • Xu Zhao

    (College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

  • Yaochi Wang

    (College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

  • Jinyu Wang

    (College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

Abstract

Oil is one of the most important sources of energy, about 25 percent of which comes from offshore sources. As a result, the transportation of oil tankers, and the construction of offshore oil platforms and subsea pipelines have increased, to facilitate offshore oil exploitation. However, most oil spill risk assessments analyze the impact of one risk source, and rarely consider multiple risk sources in the study area. This paper focuses on three risk sources that may cause oil spills in a certain area, and establishes an oil spill risk assessment model through a fuzzy inference system. Oil spill probabilities for different risk sources are calculated through the model. According to the definition of oil spill risk, the risk probability of multiple risk sources in the study area is obtained, which can provide technical support for regional oil spill emergency capacity and emergency resource allocation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao Jiang & Xu Zhao & Yaochi Wang & Jinyu Wang, 2022. "Multi-Risk Source Oil Spill Risk Assessment Based on a Fuzzy Inference System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-22, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:7:p:4227-:d:785802
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Z. L. Yang & J. Wang & S. Bonsall & Q. G. Fang, 2009. "Use of Fuzzy Evidential Reasoning in Maritime Security Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(1), pages 95-120, January.
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