IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v11y2023i6p1425-d1098174.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Convergence Rates of Large Volatility Matrix Estimator Based on Noise, Jumps, and Asynchronization

Author

Listed:
  • Erlin Guo

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xuzhou University of Technology, Xuzhou 221018, China)

  • Cuixia Li

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xuzhou University of Technology, Xuzhou 221018, China)

  • Fengqin Tang

    (School of Mathematics Sciences, Huaibei Normal University, Huaibei 235000, China)

Abstract

At the turn of the 21st century, the wide availability of high-frequency data aroused an increasing demand for better modeling and statistical inference. A challenging problem in statistics and econometrics is the estimation problem of the integrated volatility matrix based on high-frequency data. The existing estimators work well for diffusion processes with micro-structural noise and may get worse when jumps are considered. This paper proposes a novel estimation in the presence of jumps, micro-structural noise, and asynchronization. First, we adopt sub-sampling to synchronize the high-frequency data. Then, we use a two-time scale to realize co-volatility to handle noise. Finally, we employ the threshold parameters to remove the effect of jumps and sparsity in two steps. Both the minimax bound and the convergence rate are discussed in the paper. The estimation procedures of the heavy-tailed data will be solved in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Erlin Guo & Cuixia Li & Fengqin Tang, 2023. "The Convergence Rates of Large Volatility Matrix Estimator Based on Noise, Jumps, and Asynchronization," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-11, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:6:p:1425-:d:1098174
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1425/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1425/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bing-Yi Jing & Zhi Liu & Xin-Bing Kong, 2014. "On the Estimation of Integrated Volatility With Jumps and Microstructure Noise," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 457-467, July.
    2. Cui-Xia Li & Jin-Yuan Chen & Zhi Liu & Bing-Yi Jing, 2014. "On Integrated Volatility of Itô Semimartingales when Sampling Times are Endogenous," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(24), pages 5263-5275, December.
    3. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2005. "Correcting the Errors: Volatility Forecast Evaluation Using High-Frequency Data and Realized Volatilities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(1), pages 279-296, January.
    4. Zhang, Lan & Mykland, Per A. & Ait-Sahalia, Yacine, 2005. "A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility With Noisy High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 1394-1411, December.
    5. repec:wyi:journl:002161 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Zhang, Lan, 2011. "Estimating covariation: Epps effect, microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 33-47, January.
    7. Christensen, Kim & Kinnebrock, Silja & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 116-133, November.
    8. Kim, Donggyu & Wang, Yazhen & Zou, Jian, 2016. "Asymptotic theory for large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(11), pages 3527-3577.
    9. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Fan, Jianqing & Xiu, Dacheng, 2010. "High-Frequency Covariance Estimates With Noisy and Asynchronous Financial Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(492), pages 1504-1517.
    10. Kim, Donggyu & Kong, Xin-Bing & Li, Cui-Xia & Wang, Yazhen, 2018. "Adaptive thresholding for large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 69-79.
    11. Lam, Clifford & Fan, Jianqing, 2009. "Sparsistency and rates of convergence in large covariance matrix estimation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 31540, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. repec:hal:journl:peer-00732537 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Jin, Chenfei & Tsai, Fu-Sheng & Gu, Qiuyang & Wu, Bao, 2022. "Does the porter hypothesis work well in the emission trading schema pilot? Exploring moderating effects of institutional settings," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    14. Zhi Liu, 2017. "Jump-robust estimation of volatility with simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and multiple observations," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 427-469, April.
    15. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Econometric Analysis of Realized Covariation: High Frequency Based Covariance, Regression, and Correlation in Financial Economics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 885-925, May.
    16. Jonathan Brogaard & Terrence Hendershott & Ryan Riordan, 2014. "High-Frequency Trading and Price Discovery," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(8), pages 2267-2306.
    17. Todorov, Viktor, 2009. "Estimation of continuous-time stochastic volatility models with jumps using high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(2), pages 131-148, February.
    18. Cuixia Li & Erlin Guo, 2018. "Estimation of the integrated volatility using noisy high-frequency data with jumps and endogeneity," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 521-531, February.
    19. Dai, Chaoxing & Lu, Kun & Xiu, Dacheng, 2019. "Knowing factors or factor loadings, or neither? Evaluating estimators of large covariance matrices with noisy and asynchronous data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 43-79.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruijun Bu & Degui Li & Oliver Linton & Hanchao Wang, 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data," Working Papers 202212, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    2. Bu, R. & Li, D. & Linton, O. & Wang, H., 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2218, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Liu, Zhi & Kong, Xin-Bing & Jing, Bing-Yi, 2018. "Estimating the integrated volatility using high-frequency data with zero durations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 18-32.
    4. Hounyo, Ulrich, 2017. "Bootstrapping integrated covariance matrix estimators in noisy jump–diffusion models with non-synchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 130-152.
    5. Donggyu Kim & Minseog Oh, 2023. "Dynamic Realized Minimum Variance Portfolio Models," Papers 2310.13511, arXiv.org.
    6. Song, Xinyu & Kim, Donggyu & Yuan, Huiling & Cui, Xiangyu & Lu, Zhiping & Zhou, Yong & Wang, Yazhen, 2021. "Volatility analysis with realized GARCH-Itô models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 393-410.
    7. Kim, Donggyu & Fan, Jianqing, 2019. "Factor GARCH-Itô models for high-frequency data with application to large volatility matrix prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 395-417.
    8. Ilze Kalnina, 2023. "Inference for Nonparametric High-Frequency Estimators with an Application to Time Variation in Betas," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 538-549, April.
    9. Kim, Donggyu & Kong, Xin-Bing & Li, Cui-Xia & Wang, Yazhen, 2018. "Adaptive thresholding for large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 69-79.
    10. Dohyun Chun & Donggyu Kim, 2022. "State Heterogeneity Analysis of Financial Volatility using high‐frequency Financial Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 105-124, January.
    11. Donggyu Kim & Xinyu Song & Yazhen Wang, 2020. "Unified Discrete-Time Factor Stochastic Volatility and Continuous-Time Ito Models for Combining Inference Based on Low-Frequency and High-Frequency," Papers 2006.12039, arXiv.org.
    12. Shen, Keren & Yao, Jianfeng & Li, Wai Keung, 2019. "On a spiked model for large volatility matrix estimation from noisy high-frequency data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 207-221.
    13. Fan, Jianqing & Kim, Donggyu, 2019. "Structured volatility matrix estimation for non-synchronized high-frequency financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(1), pages 61-78.
    14. Dai, Chaoxing & Lu, Kun & Xiu, Dacheng, 2019. "Knowing factors or factor loadings, or neither? Evaluating estimators of large covariance matrices with noisy and asynchronous data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 43-79.
    15. Shephard, Neil & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: Estimation of the covariation of equity prices under asynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 19-42.
    16. Hwang, Eunju & Shin, Dong Wan, 2018. "Two-stage stationary bootstrapping for bivariate average realized volatility matrix under market microstructure noise and asynchronicity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 202(2), pages 178-195.
    17. Kim, Donggyu & Song, Xinyu & Wang, Yazhen, 2022. "Unified discrete-time factor stochastic volatility and continuous-time Itô models for combining inference based on low-frequency and high-frequency," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    18. Haugom, Erik & Lien, Gudbrand & Veka, Steinar & Westgaard, Sjur, 2014. "Covariance estimation using high-frequency data: Sensitivities of estimation methods," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 416-425.
    19. Grønborg, Niels S. & Lunde, Asger & Olesen, Kasper V. & Vander Elst, Harry, 2022. "Realizing correlations across asset classes," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA).
    20. Boudt, Kris & Dragun, Kirill & Sauri, Orimar & Vanduffel, Steven, 2023. "ETF Basket-Adjusted Covariance estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1144-1171.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:6:p:1425-:d:1098174. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.