IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedfel/y2009isep21n2009-29.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting crises, part I: Do coming crises cast their shadows before?

Author

Listed:
  • Bharat Trehan

Abstract

The enormity of the current financial collapse, widely described as a bursting bubble, raises the question whether the crisis could have been predicted, possibly permitting action to offset its effects. In the first of two Economic Letters on the subject, we look at developments in the United States and find evidence suggesting that simple indicators based on asset market developments can provide early warnings about potentially dangerous financial imbalances.

Suggested Citation

  • Bharat Trehan, 2009. "Predicting crises, part I: Do coming crises cast their shadows before?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep21.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2009:i:sep21:n:2009-29
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2009/el2009-29.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2009/el2009-29.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Landais, Bernard, 2010. "The monetary origins of the financial and economic crisis," MPRA Paper 23769, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Landais, Bernard, 2011. "Conduite et efficacité de la politique économique : les leçons de la crise [Management and Efficiency of the Economic Policies : The Crisis' Lessons"]," MPRA Paper 31223, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; Financial crises;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2009:i:sep21:n:2009-29. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Research Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbsfus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.