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Shipping Indexes Signal Global Economic Trends

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  • Payton Odom

Abstract

International trade is the centerpiece of the global economy; the United States increasingly turns to foreign suppliers for many consumer goods it once produced domestically. Yet, many studies of international trade emphasize only the starting and finish lines of the supply chain, with little consideration of how goods arrive at their final destination. A closer look at the logistics reveals a story of competition and innovation, in which a complex and dynamic network of ships moves the vast majority of traded goods across the world?s oceans. A number of indexes document two principal sectors of maritime shipping?dry bulk and container cargo?and are believed to foretell broader production and commercial developments. Understanding the methodology used in these measurements aids the understanding of international trade trends and their implication for recovery from the global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Payton Odom, 2010. "Shipping Indexes Signal Global Economic Trends," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 28-35.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddgm:00007
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    Cited by:

    1. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 54-78.
    2. James D. Hamilton, 2021. "Measuring global economic activity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 293-303, April.
    3. James D. Hamilton, 2019. "Measuring Global Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 25778, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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