Proposals to shore up Social Security using future budget surpluses neglect to mention that Social Security itself produces these surpluses. Moreover, the projected budget surplus is dwarfed by Social Security's present shortfall of $7 trillion-$10 trillion, which consists of the benefits that living adults will receive minus their payroll tax payments. This shortfall represents an addition to living adults' wealth that has encouraged greater current consumption, lowered national saving, and widened trade deficits.
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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland in its journal Economic Commentary.