Stock Market Integration: Granger Causality Testing with Respect to Nonsynchronous Trading Effects
AbstractIn this paper, we perform Granger causality analysis on stock market indices from several Asian, European, and U.S. markets. Using daily data, we point out the potential problems caused by the presence of nonsynchronous trading effects. We deal with two kinds of nonsynchronicity – one induced by differing numbers of observations in the series being analyzed and the other related to the different time zones in which the markets operate. To address the first problem, we propose a data-matching process. To address the second problem, we modify the regressions used in the Granger causality testing. When comparing the empirical results obtained using the standard technique and our modified methodology, we find substantially different results. Most of the relationships that are subject to nonsynchronous trading are not significant in the general case. However, when we use the adjusted methodology, the null hypothesis of a Granger non-causal relationship is rejected in all cases.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences in its journal Finance a uver - Czech Journal of Economics and Finance.
Volume (Year): 60 (2010)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
stock market integration; nonsynchronous trading; Granger causality;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
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