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Does a unique “T+1 trading rule” in China incur return difference between daytime and overnight periods?

Author

Listed:
  • Xundi Diao
  • Hongyang Qiu
  • Bin Tong

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the difference between the daytime (open-to-close) and overnight (close-to-open) returns of CSI 300 index and its derivative futures. Design/methodology/approach - The paper explores the difference between the daytime and overnight time returns by using nonparametric techniques. Moreover, investigation on some factors such as short selling, trading rules, risks are made to seek the sources of the day and night effects based on a large number of empirical analysis. In the end, further analyses on daytime and overnight returns are given by the use of high-frequency data and linear regression technique. Findings - The authors show that the daytime returns of CSI 300 index are no less than its overnight returns, while the daytime returns of CSI 300 index futures are no more than its overnight returns, even after removing the heteroscedasticity of the researched time series. Specifically, the PM returns (13:05 to close) play a quite important role in the intra-day time. The findings also suggest that the unique “T+1 trading rule” in China may be a reason that incurs the lower opening price in the morning and the higher closing price in the afternoon, resulting in the statistically significant differences between the daytime and overnight returns. Practical implications - The findings are of great importance for investors to decide when to buy and sell stock and futures portfolios in Chinese financial markets. Originality/value - This study empirically analyzes why there the higher daytime returns and the lower overnight returns exist in the Chinese stock markets from different aspects and contributes the existing literature on day and night effects because of periodic market closures.

Suggested Citation

  • Xundi Diao & Hongyang Qiu & Bin Tong, 2017. "Does a unique “T+1 trading rule” in China incur return difference between daytime and overnight periods?," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 8(1), pages 2-20, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:cfripp:cfri-12-2016-0130
    DOI: 10.1108/CFRI-12-2016-0130
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Qu, Hui & Wang, Tianyang & Zhang, Yi & Sun, Pengfei, 2019. "Dynamic hedging using the realized minimum-variance hedge ratio approach – Examination of the CSI 300 index futures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei & Zhu, Zhican, 2020. "Sequential forecasting of downside extreme risk during overnight and daytime: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market☆," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Li, Zeguang & Hou, Keqiang & Zhang, Chao, 2021. "The impacts of circuit breakers on China's stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Short selling; Value at risk; Nonparametric test; T+0 trading rule; T+1 trading rule; C51; G14;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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