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Modeling financial instability

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  • Toichiro Asada

    (Chuo University, Japan)

Abstract

In this paper, we reconsider Minsky's financial instability hypothesis from the point of view of mathematical macrodynamic modeling. We start from a simple prototype small scale model of private debt and income with fixed prices. This system is similar to the Lotka-Volterra predator-prey system, in which private debt plays the role of predator and income plays the role of prey. Then, we extend the model step by step by introducing variable prices, inflation expectation, public debt and a budget equation of the consolidated government including the central bank. We also study the effect of macroeconomic stabilization policies by means of monetary and fiscal policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Toichiro Asada, 2012. "Modeling financial instability," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 215-232.
    • Handle: RePEc:elg:ejeepi:v:9:y:2012:i:2:p215-232
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    Cited by:

    1. Greg Philip Hannsgen, 2021. "A Minimal Probabilistic Minsky Model: 3D Continuous-Jump Dynamics," Working Papers PKWP2026, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    2. Hideyuki Adachi & Atsushi Miyake, 2015. "A Macrodynamic Analysis of Financial Instability," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Hideyuki Adachi & Tamotsu Nakamura & Yasuyuki Osumi (ed.), Studies in Medium-Run Macroeconomics Growth, Fluctuations, Unemployment, Inequality and Policies, chapter 5, pages 117-146, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Robert Calvert Jump & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023. "Building blocks of a heterodox business cycle theory," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 334-358, April.
    4. Sołtysiak Damian, 2023. "On the stability of a certain Keynes-Metzler-Goodwin monetary growth model," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 26-64, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Minsky's financial instability hypothesis; Lotka-Volterra system; private debt; income; public debt; inflation expectation; stabilization policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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