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Why are regional jets less used in emerging economies? A real options valuation approach and policy implications

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  • Hu, Qiwei
  • Zhang, Anming
  • Zhang, Yahua

Abstract

In this paper we offer an explanation for why regional jets are less used in emerging economies by using a real options valuation (ROV) approach. Our ROV analysis is based on the observation that airlines are operating under different development and regulatory environments between emerging economies and developed economies. We quantify the values of the options using a case study of aircraft acquisition by airlines in the US, Brazil and China. It is found that although a theoretical value gap (a negative ROV) exists between narrow-body aircraft and regional jets (e.g., between A320 and E190) for the US carrier that operates in the condition of a low initial passenger volume per trip and a low passenger growth rate, the gap weakens and a positive ROV is possible for the Brazilian and Chinese carriers facing a high growth rate. Furthermore, regulatory restrictions faced by Chinese carriers have a positive influence on the ROV that is biased towards narrow-body aircraft over regional jets, although this influence is less than the positive ROV impact from the high growth rate. The managerial and policy implications are also discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Qiwei & Zhang, Anming & Zhang, Yahua, 2019. "Why are regional jets less used in emerging economies? A real options valuation approach and policy implications," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 125-136.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:79:y:2019:i:c:p:125-136
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2019.04.012
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yaghoub Abdi & Xiaoni Li & Xavier Càmara-Turull, 2023. "Firm value in the airline industry: perspectives on the impact of sustainability and Covid-19," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, December.
    2. Chen, Wei-Ting & Wu, Cheng-Lung, 2023. "Aircraft acquisition optimization under demand and cost fluctuations: Before and after leasing standard changes," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    3. Chen, Yilin & Hou, Meng & Wang, Kun & Yang, Hangjun, 2023. "Government interventions in regional airline markets based on aircraft size—Welfare and environmental implications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    4. Balliauw, Matteo, 2021. "From theoretical real options models to pragmatic decision making: Required steps, opportunities and threats," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Zhang, Anming & Wan, Yulai & Yang, Hangjun, 2019. "Impacts of high-speed rail on airlines, airports and regional economies: A survey of recent research," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-19.
    6. Wang, Yixiao & Sun, Luoyi & Teunter, Ruud H. & Wu, Jianhong & Hua, Guowei, 2020. "Effects of introducing low-cost high-speed rail on air-rail competition: Modelling and numerical analysis for Paris-Marseille," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 145-162.
    7. Natalia Morozko & Nina Morozko & Valentina Didenko, 2020. "The Use of Real Options in Assessing the Development of Small Energy in Russia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 205-211.

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