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Experimental analysis of dynamic route choice behavior

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  • Iida, Yasunori
  • Akiyama, Takamasa
  • Uchida, Takashi
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    Abstract

    This study analyzes the dynamics of route choice behavior by laboratory-like experiments that repeatedly ask the participants to respond to hypothetical route choices. The analysis considers the case where a pool of travelers depart from a given origin to a single destination connected by two parallel alternative routes. Traffic conditions varying from day to day are represented by travel time. Travel time prediction errors (the difference between predicted and actual travel time) as well as actual travel times are treated as "experiences" accumulating through the experiments. It is found that the traffic flow seems to be hard to converge to an equilibrium, so that existing traffic assignment models may not be adequate to analyze actual traffic phenomena. Some important insights regarding the mechanism of driver's route choice behavior are also obtained by the experiments. For example, the results show that there exist two patterns of using previous travel experiences for prediction of travel time.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Transportation Research Part B: Methodological.

    Volume (Year): 26 (1992)
    Issue (Month): 1 (February)
    Pages: 17-32

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:26:y:1992:i:1:p:17-32

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    Cited by:
    1. Rapoport, Amnon & Mak, Vincent & Zwick, Rami, 2006. "Navigating congested networks with variable demand: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 648-666, October.
    2. Linde, Jona & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2014. "Strategies and evolution in the minority game: A multi-round strategy experiment," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 77-95.
    3. Terry E. Daniel & Eyran J. Gisches & Amnon Rapoport, 2009. "Departure Times in Y-Shaped Traffic Networks with Multiple Bottlenecks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2149-76, December.
    4. Jona Linde & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra, 2013. "Strategies and Evolution in the Minority Game: A Multi- Round Strategy Experiment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-043/I, Tinbergen Institute.
    5. Yang, Hai & Kitamura, Ryuichi & Jovanis, Paul P. & Vaughn, Kenneth M. & Abdel-aty, Mohammed A. & Reddy, Prasuna Dvg, 1993. "Exploration Of Driver Route Choice With Advanced Traveler Information Using Neural Network Concepts," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt53d2t6df, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    6. Innocenti, Alessandro & Lattarulo, Patrizia & Pazienza, Maria Grazia, 2013. "Car stickiness: Heuristics and biases in travel choice," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 158-168.
    7. Chmura, T. & Pitz, T., 2006. "Successful strategies in repeated minority games," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 363(2), pages 477-480.
    8. Pietro Dindo & Jan Tuinstra, 2010. "A class of evolutionary models for participation games with negative feedback," LEM Papers Series 2010/14, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    9. Theo Arentze & Harry Timmermans, 2003. "Modeling learning and adaptation processes in activity-travel choice A framework and numerical experiment," Transportation, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 37-62, February.
    10. van Ackere, Ann & Larsen, Erik R., 2004. "Self-organising behaviour in the presence of negative externalities: A conceptual model of commuter choice," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 501-513, September.
    11. Willemien Kets, 2007. "The minority game: An economics perspective," Papers 0706.4432, arXiv.org.
    12. Selten, R. & Chmura, T. & Pitz, T. & Kube, S. & Schreckenberg, M., 2007. "Commuters route choice behaviour," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 394-406, February.
    13. Emmerink, Richard H. M. & Verhoef, Erik T. & Nijkamp, Peter & Rietveld, Piet, 1998. "Information policy in road transport with elastic demand: Some welfare economic considerations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 71-95, January.

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