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A statistical approach to the traveling salesman problem

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  • Kovacs, W. J.
  • Goodin, D. T.

Abstract

A statistical approach is shown to be adaptable to the N-city traveling salesman problem by considering route distances to be random variables which are continuous and normally distributed. A solution to the shortest route distance and path can be approximated by utilizing a Monte Carlo simulation to obtain a representative sample of possible journeys. The approach involves recursive statistical inference which is used to select next-city visits leading to the most probable minimum route path. A statistical selection of the minimum route path is computationally efficient and computer run time increases in proportion to the square of the number of cities as opposed to an (N - 1)! increase for a deterministic approach. The accuracy of the statistical approach is directly proportional to the number of Monte Carlo simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Kovacs, W. J. & Goodin, D. T., 1985. "A statistical approach to the traveling salesman problem," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 239-252, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:19:y:1985:i:3:p:239-252
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