Dynamic prediction of traffic volume through Kalman filtering theory
AbstractTwo models employing Kalman filtering theory are proposed for predicting short-term traffic volume. Prediction parameters are improved using the most recent prediction error and better volume prediction on a link is achieved by taking into account data from a number of links. Based on data collected from a street network in Nagoya City, average prediction error is found to be less than 9% and maximum error less than 30%. The new models perform substantially (up to 80%) better than UTCS-2.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Transportation Research Part B: Methodological.
Volume (Year): 18 (1984)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
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