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Tracing the system transformations and innovation pathways of an emerging technology: Solid lipid nanoparticles

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  • Zhou, Xiao
  • Huang, Lu
  • Porter, Alan
  • Vicente-Gomila, Jose M.

Abstract

Accurately evaluating opportunities in new and emerging science and technologies is a growing concern. This study proposes an integrated framework for identifying a range of potential innovation pathways and commercial applications for solid lipid nanoparticles – one particularly promising contender within the field of nano-enabled drug delivery. Several text mining techniques – term clumping, SAO technique, and net effect analysis – as well as technology roadmapping, are combined with expert judgment to identify the main areas of R&D in this field, and to track their evolution over time. Through analysis, data from multiple sources, including research publications, patents, and commercial press, reveal possible future applications and commercialization opportunities for this emerging technology. We find that research is moving away from materials and delivery outcomes toward clinical applications. The most promising markets are pharmaceuticals and cosmetics; however, the “time-to-market” is much shorter for cosmetics than it is for pharmaceuticals.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Xiao & Huang, Lu & Porter, Alan & Vicente-Gomila, Jose M., 2019. "Tracing the system transformations and innovation pathways of an emerging technology: Solid lipid nanoparticles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 785-794.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:146:y:2019:i:c:p:785-794
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.04.026
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Xu, Shuo & Hao, Liyuan & Yang, Guancan & Lu, Kun & An, Xin, 2021. "A topic models based framework for detecting and forecasting emerging technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).

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