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Inpatient/outpatient health care costs and remaining years of life--effect of decreasing mortality on future acute health care demand

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  • Batljan, Ilija
  • Lagergren, Mårten
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    Abstract

    The article introduces a method that may be used to estimate how demographic changes may affect future demand for inpatient/outpatient health care. The method is useful in order to refine estimation of demographic influence on demand in the process of health human resources planning. Empirical evidence focuses on the connection between health care costs and remaining years of life. We estimate the demographically determined rise in inpatient/outpatient health care demand in Sweden in the period 2000-2030. The increase arrived at, by means of our method, is circa 37% lower than estimates done with a simple demographical extrapolation, which does not take the decreasing mortality pattern into account.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Social Science & Medicine.

    Volume (Year): 59 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 12 (December)
    Pages: 2459-2466

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:socmed:v:59:y:2004:i:12:p:2459-2466

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    Related research

    Keywords: Health care demand Last year of life Ageing Method Projections Sweden;

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    Cited by:
    1. Murphy, Michael & Martikainen, Pekka, 2013. "Use of hospital and long-term institutional care services in relation to proximity to death among older people in Finland," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 39-47.
    2. Torben Andersen & Mikkel Hermansen, 2014. "Durable consumption, saving and retirement," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 825-840, July.
    3. Gielen, Birgit & Remacle, Anne & Mertens, Raf, 2010. "Patterns of health care use and expenditure during the last 6 months of life in Belgium: Differences between age categories in cancer and non-cancer patients," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 53-61, September.

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