IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v453y2016icp278-289.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Cross-correlations between Baltic Dry Index and crude oil prices

Author

Listed:
  • Ruan, Qingsong
  • Wang, Yao
  • Lu, Xinsheng
  • Qin, Jing

Abstract

This paper examines the cross-correlation properties of Baltic Dry Index (BDI) and crude oil prices using cross-correlation statistics test and multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA). The empirical results show that the cross-correlations between BDI and crude oil prices are significantly multifractal. By introducing the concept of a “crossover”, we find that the cross-correlations are strongly persistent in the short term and weakly anti-persistent in the long term. Moreover, cross-correlations of all kinds of fluctuations are persistent in the short time while cross-correlations of small fluctuations are persistent and those of large fluctuations are anti-persistent in the long term. We have also verified that the multifractality of the cross-correlations of BDI and crude oil prices is both attributable to the persistence of fluctuations of time series and fat-tailed distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruan, Qingsong & Wang, Yao & Lu, Xinsheng & Qin, Jing, 2016. "Cross-correlations between Baltic Dry Index and crude oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 278-289.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:453:y:2016:i:c:p:278-289
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.02.018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437116001849
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2016.02.018?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2010. "Cross-correlations between Chinese A-share and B-share markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(23), pages 5468-5478.
    2. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2007. "Time-varying long-range dependence in US interest rates," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 360-367.
    3. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2011. "Multifractal detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis," Papers 1103.2577, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    4. Zhuang, Xiaoyang & Wei, Yu & Zhang, Bangzheng, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of carbon and crude oil markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 399(C), pages 113-125.
    5. Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis between the Chinese stock market and surrounding stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(7), pages 1659-1670.
    6. Yuan, Ying & Zhuang, Xin-tian & Jin, Xiu, 2009. "Measuring multifractality of stock price fluctuation using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(11), pages 2189-2197.
    7. Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2014. "Cross-correlations between spot and futures markets of nonferrous metals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 20-30.
    8. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Samanta, Shukla, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of gold price and SENSEX," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 195-204.
    9. Liu, Li & Wan, Jieqiu, 2011. "A study of correlations between crude oil spot and futures markets: A rolling sample test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3754-3766.
    10. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2008. "Testing for time-varying long-range dependence in real state equity returns," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 293-307.
    11. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2005. "Testing for time-varying long-range dependence in volatility for emerging markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 346(3), pages 577-588.
    12. B. Podobnik & I. Grosse & D. Horvatić & S. Ilic & P. Ch. Ivanov & H. E. Stanley, 2009. "Quantifying cross-correlations using local and global detrending approaches," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 71(2), pages 243-250, September.
    13. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    14. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2008. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis for two nonstationary signals," Papers 0803.2773, arXiv.org.
    15. Gu, Rongbao & Chen, Hongtao & Wang, Yudong, 2010. "Multifractal analysis on international crude oil markets based on the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2805-2815.
    16. El Alaoui, Marwane & Benbachir, Saâd, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis in the MENA area," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5985-5993.
    17. Cajueiro, Daniel O & Tabak, Benjamin M, 2004. "The Hurst exponent over time: testing the assertion that emerging markets are becoming more efficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 336(3), pages 521-537.
    18. Qin, Jing & Lu, Xinsheng & Zhou, Ying & Qu, Ling, 2015. "The effectiveness of China’s RMB exchange rate reforms: An insight from multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 421(C), pages 443-454.
    19. Siqueira, Erinaldo Leite & Stošić, Tatijana & Bejan, Lucian & Stošić, Borko, 2010. "Correlations and cross-correlations in the Brazilian agrarian commodities and stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2739-2743.
    20. Norouzzadeh, P. & Rahmani, B., 2006. "A multifractal detrended fluctuation description of Iranian rial–US dollar exchange rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 367(C), pages 328-336.
    21. Pal, Mayukha & Madhusudana Rao, P. & Manimaran, P., 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis on gold, crude oil and foreign exchange rate time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 452-460.
    22. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2004. "Evidence of long range dependence in Asian equity markets: the role of liquidity and market restrictions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 342(3), pages 656-664.
    23. Gao-Feng Gu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2010. "Detrending moving average algorithm for multifractals," Papers 1005.0877, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
    24. Xi-Yuan Qian & Ya-Min Liu & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Boris Podobnik & Wei-Xing Zhou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2015. "Detrended partial cross-correlation analysis of two nonstationary time series influenced by common external forces," Papers 1504.02435, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2015.
    25. Li, Zhihui & Lu, Xinsheng, 2012. "Cross-correlations between agricultural commodity futures markets in the US and China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(15), pages 3930-3941.
    26. Zunino, L. & Tabak, B.M. & Figliola, A. & Pérez, D.G. & Garavaglia, M. & Rosso, O.A., 2008. "A multifractal approach for stock market inefficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(26), pages 6558-6566.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruan, Qingsong & Bao, Junjie & Zhang, Manqian & Fan, Limin, 2019. "The effects of exchange rate regime reform on RMB markets: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 122-134.
    2. Ruan, Qingsong & Jiang, Wei & Ma, Guofeng, 2016. "Cross-correlations between price and volume in Chinese gold markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 10-22.
    3. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Chatterjee, Sucharita, 2016. "Multifractal detrended Cross Correlation Analysis of Foreign Exchange and SENSEX fluctuation in Indian perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 188-201.
    4. Chatterjee, Sucharita & Ghosh, Dipak, 2021. "Impact of Global Warming on SENSEX fluctuations — A study based on Multifractal detrended cross correlation analysis between the temperature anomalies and the SENSEX fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    5. Chatterjee, Sucharita, 2020. "Analysis of the human gait rhythm in Neurodegenerative disease: A multifractal approach using Multifractal detrended cross correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    6. Lu, Xinsheng & Sun, Xinxin & Ge, Jintian, 2017. "Dynamic relationship between Japanese Yen exchange rates and market anxiety: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 474(C), pages 144-161.
    7. Ruan, Qingsong & Zhou, Mi & Yin, Linsen & Lv, Dayong, 2021. "Hedging effectiveness of Chinese Treasury bond futures: New evidence based on nonlinear analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    8. Sun, Xinxin & Lu, Xinsheng & Yue, Gongzheng & Li, Jianfeng, 2017. "Cross-correlations between the US monetary policy, US dollar index and crude oil market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 326-344.
    9. Li, Wei & Lu, Xinsheng & Ren, Yongping & Zhou, Ying, 2018. "Dynamic relationship between RMB exchange rate index and stock market liquidity: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 726-739.
    10. Zhuang, Xiaoyang & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng, 2015. "Multifractality, efficiency analysis of Chinese stock market and its cross-correlation with WTI crude oil price," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 430(C), pages 101-113.
    11. Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2014. "Cross-correlations between spot and futures markets of nonferrous metals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 20-30.
    12. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Haiquan & Lv, Dayong & Zhang, Shuhua, 2018. "Cross-correlations between individual investor sentiment and Chinese stock market return: New perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 243-256.
    13. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi, 2013. "Cross-correlations between Renminbi and four major currencies in the Renminbi currency basket," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1418-1428.
    14. Qin, Jing & Lu, Xinsheng & Zhou, Ying & Qu, Ling, 2015. "The effectiveness of China’s RMB exchange rate reforms: An insight from multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 421(C), pages 443-454.
    15. Liu, Li & Ma, Guofeng, 2014. "Cross-correlation between crude oil and refined product prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 284-293.
    16. Sukpitak, Jessada & Hengpunya, Varagorn, 2016. "The influence of trading volume on market efficiency: The DCCA approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 259-265.
    17. Pal, Mayukha & Kiran, V. Satya & Rao, P. Madhusudana & Manimaran, P., 2016. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of genome sequences using chaos-game representation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 288-293.
    18. Li, Zhihui & Lu, Xinsheng, 2012. "Cross-correlations between agricultural commodity futures markets in the US and China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(15), pages 3930-3941.
    19. Zhang, Wei & Wang, Pengfei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2018. "The inefficiency of cryptocurrency and its cross-correlation with Dow Jones Industrial Average," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 658-670.
    20. Guo, Yaoqi & Yu, Zhuling & Yu, Chenxi & Cheng, Hui & Chen, Weixun & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Asymmetric multifractal features of the price–volume correlation in China’s gold futures market based on MF-ADCCA," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:453:y:2016:i:c:p:278-289. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.