IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v283y2000i3p559-567.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A dynamical model describing stock market price distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Masoliver, Jaume
  • Montero, Miquel
  • Porrà, Josep M

Abstract

High-frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well established by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following properties: (i) They are not Gaussian and their center is well adjusted by Lévy distributions. (ii) They are long-tailed but have finite moments of any order. (iii) They are self-similar on many time scales. Finally, (iv) at small time scales, price volatility follows a non-diffusive behavior. We extend Merton's ideas on speculative price formation and present a dynamical model resulting in a characteristic function that explains in a natural way all of the above features. The knowledge of such a distribution opens a new and useful way of quantifying financial risk. The results of the model agree – with high degree of accuracy – with empirical data taken from historical records of the Standard & Poor's 500 cash index.

Suggested Citation

  • Masoliver, Jaume & Montero, Miquel & Porrà, Josep M, 2000. "A dynamical model describing stock market price distributions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 283(3), pages 559-567.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:283:y:2000:i:3:p:559-567
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00117-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437100001175
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00117-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. M A Sánchez-Granero & J E Trinidad-Segovia & J Clara-Rahola & A M Puertas & F J De las Nieves, 2017. "A model for foreign exchange markets based on glassy Brownian systems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(12), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Miquel Montero, 2021. "Predator–prey model for stock market fluctuations," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(1), pages 29-57, January.
    3. Collan, Mikael, 2004. "Giga-Investments: Modelling the Valuation of Very Large Industrial Real Investments," MPRA Paper 4328, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Zhuang, Xin-tian & Huang, Xiao-yuan & Sha, Yan-li, 2004. "Research on the fractal structure in the Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 333(C), pages 293-305.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:283:y:2000:i:3:p:559-567. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.