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Mood seasonality around the globe

Author

Listed:
  • Atilgan, Yigit
  • Demirtas, K. Ozgur
  • Gunaydin, A. Doruk
  • Kirli, Imra

Abstract

This paper examines the existence of mood seasonality, documented by Hirshleifer et al. (2020, JFE) for the cross-section of US equity returns, in an international setting. First, we confirm the results of the original study. Next, we extend these findings to non-US markets and show that they are not sample-specific. A stock's relative historical seasonal returns are positively correlated with its relative future seasonal returns during similar or congruent mood periods and negatively related with its relative future seasonal returns during dissimilar or non-congruent mood periods. Moreover, both regression and portfolio analyses indicate that mood beta, the sensitivity of equity returns to aggregate investor mood, helps explain these mood seasonality effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Atilgan, Yigit & Demirtas, K. Ozgur & Gunaydin, A. Doruk & Kirli, Imra, 2023. "Mood seasonality around the globe," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23002421
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102171
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    Keywords

    Equity return seasonality; Investor mood; Mood beta; Behavioral finance; Market efficiency; International finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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