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Index membership and predictability of stock returns: The case of the Nikkei 225

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Author Info
Liu, Shinhua

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Abstract

When stocks are added to (deleted from) an index, more (less) information should be generated and incorporated into their prices, leading to higher (lower) pricing efficiency and lower (higher) return predictability for them. We test this hypothesis for the first time using membership changes in the Nikkei 225. Employing two alternative tests, we document that the return series become more (less) random and, thus, less (more) predictable for stocks added (deleted). We further find that these changes are related to changes in the information environment for the stocks involved, supporting the hypothesis. These findings should be of interest to portfolio managers.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VFF-4T3DCSV-1/2/7d38c06b8c696ec7ee7b2e508a6616e0
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Pacific-Basin Finance Journal.

Volume (Year): 17 (2009)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 338-351
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Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:17:y:2009:i:3:p:338-351

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin

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Related research
Keywords: Japan Membership Nikkei 225 Pricing efficiency Return predictability;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-30.


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