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The international linkages of market risk perception

Author

Listed:
  • Serrano, Pedro
  • Vaello-Sebastià, Antoni
  • Vich-Llompart, M. Magdalena

Abstract

This article studies the international linkages of market risk perception, which embeds a statistical measure of risk as well as the subjective beliefs and preferences of the representative investor. We find high commonality between the risk perception of different countries/economic areas, with a first principal component explaining more than 80% of the total variability. The level of integration is dynamic, peaking during crises. A connectedness analysis shows that the transmission of shocks goes from Western to Asia-Pacific economies. We also disentangle whether risk perception spillovers are due to shocks in the aggregate risk aversion or a resolution of uncertainty. A local projection analysis documents a short-term impact of risk aversion in the perception of risk. Uncertainty is also statistically significant, and although their effects are milder they span for longer periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Serrano, Pedro & Vaello-Sebastià, Antoni & Vich-Llompart, M. Magdalena, 2024. "The international linkages of market risk perception," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:72:y:2024:i:c:s1042444x23000452
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100826
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Arrow–Debreu prices; Options; Integration; Risk aversion; Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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