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Truck movement across the Canada–US border: The effects of 9/11 and other factors

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  • Maoh, Hanna F.
  • Khan, Shakil A.
  • Anderson, William P.

Abstract

The objective of this study is to isolate the effects of the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and the subsequent stringent border security regime on the levels of truck movement across the Canada–US border. A time series analysis, within an econometric system that rendered stationarity and used the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) estimator, was performed to model these movements. The analysis represents a natural experiment on the variability of cross-border truck movements in the aftermath of 9/11. Annual truck crossing data over the period 1972–2011, disaggregated by the country of registration (US and Canada) and Canadian jurisdictions (provinces) were used in the analysis. The results indicate that in general, 9/11 have had a negative effect on the cross-border movement of Canadian and US trucks, but the impacts were more pronounced in the case of the US trucks. Other interesting results include an increase in the number of US trucks during the period that followed the last US financial crisis. The results also illustrate the importance of GDP in explaining the observed truck movements across the Canada–US border.

Suggested Citation

  • Maoh, Hanna F. & Khan, Shakil A. & Anderson, William P., 2016. "Truck movement across the Canada–US border: The effects of 9/11 and other factors," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 12-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:53:y:2016:i:c:p:12-21
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.04.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anderson, William P. & Maoh, Hanna F. & Burke, Charles M., 2014. "Passenger car flows across the Canada–US border: The effect of 9/11," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 50-56.
    2. Bradbury, Susan L., 2013. "The impact of security on travelers across the Canada–US border," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 139-146.
    3. Mark Brown, W. & Anderson, William P., 2015. "How thick is the border: the relative cost of Canadian domestic and cross-border truck-borne trade, 2004–2009," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 10-21.
    4. Zhiqi Chen & Horatiu A. Rus & Anindya Sen, 2016. "Border Effects Before and After 9/11: Panel Data Evidence Across Industries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(10), pages 1456-1481, October.
    5. Bradbury, Susan L., 2010. "An assessment of the free and secure trade (FAST) program along the Canada-US border," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 367-380, November.
    6. J. Stephen Ferris, 2010. "Quantifying Non-Tariff Trade Barriers: What Difference Did 9/11 Make to Canadian Cross-Border Shopping?," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 36(4), pages 487-501, December.
    7. Michael Burt, 2009. "Tighter Border Security and Its Effect on Canadian Exports," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 35(2), pages 149-169, June.
    8. Steven Globerman & Paul Storer, 2009. "Border Security and Canadian Exports to the United States: Evidence and Policy Implications," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 35(2), pages 171-186, June.
    9. J. Stephen Ferris, 2009. "Quantifying Non-tariff Trading Barriers: What Difference Did the U.S. Security Precautions Following 9/11 Make to Canadian Cross Border Shopping? -revised version: Quantifying Non-Tariff Trade Barrier," Carleton Economic Papers 09-04, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2010.
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    1. Rosik, Piotr & Komornicki, Tomasz & Duma, Patryk & Goliszek, Sławomir, 2022. "The effect of border closure on road potential accessibility in the regions of the EU-27. The case of the COVID-19 pandemic," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 188-198.
    2. Maoh, Hanna & Dimatulac, Terence & Khan, Shakil & Litwin, Marek, 2021. "Studying border crossing choice behavior of trucks moving between Ontario, Canada and the United States," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Smith, Matthew J. & Ray, Sayan Basu & Raymond, Aaron & Sienna, Micah & Lilly, Meredith B., 2018. "Long-term lessons on the effects of post-9/11 border thickening on cross-border trade between Canada and the United States: A systematic review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 198-207.

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