IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jmvana/v151y2016icp69-89.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evading the curse of dimensionality in nonparametric density estimation with simplified vine copulas

Author

Listed:
  • Nagler, Thomas
  • Czado, Claudia

Abstract

Practical applications of nonparametric density estimators in more than three dimensions suffer a great deal from the well-known curse of dimensionality: convergence slows down as dimension increases. We show that one can evade the curse of dimensionality by assuming a simplified vine copula model for the dependence between variables. We formulate a general nonparametric estimator for such a model and show under high-level assumptions that the speed of convergence is independent of dimension. We further discuss a particular implementation for which we validate the high-level assumptions and establish asymptotic normality. Simulation experiments illustrate a large gain in finite sample performance when the simplifying assumption is at least approximately true. But even when it is severely violated, the vine copula based approach proves advantageous as soon as more than a few variables are involved. Lastly, we give an application of the estimator to a classification problem from astrophysics.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagler, Thomas & Czado, Claudia, 2016. "Evading the curse of dimensionality in nonparametric density estimation with simplified vine copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 69-89.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:151:y:2016:i:c:p:69-89
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2016.07.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047259X16300471
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jmva.2016.07.003?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gery Geenens & Arthur Charpentier & Davy Paindaveine, 2014. "Probit Transformation for Nonparametric Kernel Estimation of the Copula Density," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Hoaek Haff, Ingrid & Segers, Johan, 2015. "Nonparametric estimation of pair-copula constructions with the empirical pair-copula," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2015003, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    3. Hobæk Haff, Ingrid & Aas, Kjersti & Frigessi, Arnoldo, 2010. "On the simplified pair-copula construction -- Simply useful or too simplistic?," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(5), pages 1296-1310, May.
    4. C. G. G. Aitken & D. Lucy, 2004. "Evaluation of trace evidence in the form of multivariate data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 53(1), pages 109-122, January.
    5. Göran Kauermann & Christian Schellhase & David Ruppert, 2013. "Flexible Copula Density Estimation with Penalized Hierarchical B-splines," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 40(4), pages 685-705, December.
    6. Dißmann, J. & Brechmann, E.C. & Czado, C. & Kurowicka, D., 2013. "Selecting and estimating regular vine copulae and application to financial returns," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 52-69.
    7. J. Chacón & T. Duong, 2010. "Multivariate plug-in bandwidth selection with unconstrained pilot bandwidth matrices," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 19(2), pages 375-398, August.
    8. Genest, Christian & Masiello, Esterina & Tribouley, Karine, 2009. "Estimating copula densities through wavelets," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 170-181, April.
    9. C. G. G. Aitken & D. Lucy, 2004. "Corrigendum: Evaluation of trace evidence in the form of multivariate data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 53(4), pages 665-666, November.
    10. BOUEZMARNI, Taoufik & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen VK, 2010. "Nonparametric density estimation for multivariate bounded data," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2301, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    11. Hansen, Bruce E., 2008. "Uniform Convergence Rates For Kernel Estimation With Dependent Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(3), pages 726-748, June.
    12. Aas, Kjersti & Czado, Claudia & Frigessi, Arnoldo & Bakken, Henrik, 2009. "Pair-copula constructions of multiple dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 182-198, April.
    13. Hohsuk Noh & Anouar El Ghouch & Taoufik Bouezmarni, 2013. "Copula-Based Regression Estimation and Inference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(502), pages 676-688, June.
    14. Acar, Elif F. & Genest, Christian & Nešlehová, Johanna, 2012. "Beyond simplified pair-copula constructions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 74-90.
    15. Sancetta, Alessio & Satchell, Stephen, 2004. "The Bernstein Copula And Its Applications To Modeling And Approximations Of Multivariate Distributions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(3), pages 535-562, June.
    16. Hobæk Haff, Ingrid & Segers, Johan, 2015. "Nonparametric estimation of pair-copula constructions with the empirical pair-copula," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1-13.
    17. Bolancé, Catalina & Guillén, Montserrat & Nielsen, Jens Perch, 2008. "Inverse beta transformation in kernel density estimation," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(13), pages 1757-1764, September.
    18. Irène Gijbels & Marek Omelka & Noël Veraverbeke, 2015. "Estimation of a Copula when a Covariate Affects only Marginal Distributions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(4), pages 1109-1126, December.
    19. Stöber, Jakob & Joe, Harry & Czado, Claudia, 2013. "Simplified pair copula constructions—Limitations and extensions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 101-118.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Portier, François & Segers, Johan, 2018. "On the weak convergence of the empirical conditional copula under a simplifying assumption," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 160-181.
    2. Dalla Valle, Luciana & De Giuli, Maria Elena & Tarantola, Claudia & Manelli, Claudio, 2016. "Default probability estimation via pair copula constructions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(1), pages 298-311.
    3. Nagler Thomas & Czado Claudia & Schellhase Christian, 2017. "Nonparametric estimation of simplified vine copula models: comparison of methods," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 99-120, January.
    4. Brechmann, Eike C. & Hendrich, Katharina & Czado, Claudia, 2013. "Conditional copula simulation for systemic risk stress testing," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 722-732.
    5. Hobæk Haff, Ingrid & Aas, Kjersti & Frigessi, Arnoldo & Lacal, Virginia, 2016. "Structure learning in Bayesian Networks using regular vines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 186-208.
    6. Kraus, Daniel & Czado, Claudia, 2017. "D-vine copula based quantile regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 1-18.
    7. Kjersti Aas, 2016. "Pair-Copula Constructions for Financial Applications: A Review," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-15, October.
    8. Stöber, Jakob & Czado, Claudia, 2014. "Regime switches in the dependence structure of multidimensional financial data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 672-686.
    9. Stöber, Jakob & Joe, Harry & Czado, Claudia, 2013. "Simplified pair copula constructions—Limitations and extensions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 101-118.
    10. Derumigny Alexis & Fermanian Jean-David, 2017. "About tests of the “simplifying” assumption for conditional copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 154-197, August.
    11. Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2023. "Predicting binary outcomes based on the pair-copula construction," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(6), pages 3089-3119, June.
    12. Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Scheffer, Marcus, 2015. "Mixture pair-copula-constructions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 175-191.
    13. Bianchi, Pascal & Elgui, Kevin & Portier, François, 2023. "Conditional independence testing via weighted partial copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    14. Holger Fink & Yulia Klimova & Claudia Czado & Jakob Stober, 2016. "Regime switching vine copula models for global equity and volatility indices," Papers 1604.05598, arXiv.org.
    15. Gijbels, Irène & Omelka, Marek & Pešta, Michal & Veraverbeke, Noël, 2017. "Score tests for covariate effects in conditional copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 111-133.
    16. BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2018. "The contagion effect in European sovereign debt markets: A regime-switching vine copula approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 153-165.
    17. Holger Fink & Yulia Klimova & Claudia Czado & Jakob Stöber, 2017. "Regime Switching Vine Copula Models for Global Equity and Volatility Indices," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-38, January.
    18. Czado, Claudia & Ivanov, Eugen & Okhrin, Yarema, 2019. "Modelling temporal dependence of realized variances with vines," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 198-216.
    19. Barthel, Nicole & Geerdens, Candida & Killiches, Matthias & Janssen, Paul & Czado, Claudia, 2018. "Vine copula based likelihood estimation of dependence patterns in multivariate event time data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 109-127.
    20. Hobæk Haff, Ingrid & Segers, Johan, 2015. "Nonparametric estimation of pair-copula constructions with the empirical pair-copula," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1-13.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:151:y:2016:i:c:p:69-89. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/622892/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.