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Option prices as probabilities

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Author Info
Madan, D.
Roynette, B.
Yor, Marc
Abstract

Four distribution functions are associated with call and put prices seen as functions of their strike and maturity. The random variables associated with these distributions are identified when the process for moneyness defined as the stock price relative to the forward price is a positive local martingale with no positive jumps that tends to zero at infinity. Results on calls require moneyness to be a continuous martingale as well. It is shown that for puts the distributions in the strike are those for the remaining supremum while for calls, they relate to the remaining infimum. In maturity we see the distribution functions for the last passage times of moneyness to strike.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Finance Research Letters.

Volume (Year): 5 (2008)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 79-87
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Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:5:y:2008:i:2:p:79-87

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  1. Ashkan Nikeghbali & Eckhard Platen, 2008. "On Honest Times in Financial Modeling," Research Paper Series 229, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Amel Bentata & Marc Yor, 2008. "From Black-Scholes and Dupire formulae to last passage times of local martingales. Part A : The infinite time horizon," Quantitative Finance Papers 0806.0239, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  3. D. Madan & B. Roynette & M. Yor, 2008. "Unifying Black–Scholes Type Formulae Which Involve Brownian Last Passage Times up to a Finite Horizon," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 97-115, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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