IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v283y2023ics0360544223023800.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A novel algorithm system for wind power prediction based on RANSAC data screening and Seq2Seq-Attention-BiGRU model

Author

Listed:
  • Zhou, Gaoyu
  • Hu, Guofeng
  • Zhang, Daxing
  • Zhang, Yun

Abstract

Accurate wind power prediction plays a crucial role in mitigating the challenges posed by the variability and fluctuations of wind power generation, while also assisting in the regulation of power grid peaks and voltages. This paper introduces a novel algorithm system for wind power prediction, which incorporates RANSAC noise screening and the Seq2Seq-Attention-BiGRU model to enhance prediction accuracy. To address the presence of large-scale noise datasets and the well-established correlation between wind speed and power, we propose the utilization of RANSAC for effective noise screening. Subsequently, the Seq2Seq-Attention wind power prediction model is developed and validated through comparisons with measured data from various wind farms across different seasons. Additionally, the BiGRU error correction model is introduced to further refine the wind power predictions. Comparative analyses between the proposed prediction method and existing forecasting techniques demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in enhancing prediction accuracy. Specifically, when compared to the LSTM method, the RANSAC-Seq2Seq-Attention-BiGRU forecasting method yielded a remarkable decrease in the RMSE of 26.0%, 43.6%, 46.8%, and 48.4% for the months of January, March, June, and September, respectively. Moreover, the MAE exhibited reductions of 19.7%, 43.4%, 41.0%, and 46.2% for the same respective months.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Gaoyu & Hu, Guofeng & Zhang, Daxing & Zhang, Yun, 2023. "A novel algorithm system for wind power prediction based on RANSAC data screening and Seq2Seq-Attention-BiGRU model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:283:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223023800
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.128986
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223023800
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.128986?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:283:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223023800. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.