IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v178y2023ics0301421523001970.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

What is the future of nuclear power in Ukraine? The role of war, techno-economic drivers, and safety considerations

Author

Listed:
  • Chepeliev, Maksym
  • Diachuk, Oleksandr
  • Podolets, Roman
  • Semeniuk, Andrii

Abstract

The TIMES-Ukraine energy system model is used to explore the future of nuclear power plants (NPPs) under an ambitious climate policy scenario, achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions in 2050. Varying techno-economic (construction costs and capacity factors for NPPs, capital costs for solar and wind), policy (ban on construction or extension of NPPs), and macroeconomic (alternative economic recovery trajectories) factors are considered. The difference in the techno-economic assumptions for nuclear power generation has a very moderate impact on the total system costs (TSC) of the energy transition, as their variation (positive or negative change) does not exceed 0.1%–0.2% relative to the default case. Policy decisions on restricting nuclear power generation could have a more substantial impact, as TSC increase by 4–5 billion USD (0.6%–0.9%) over the 2020–2050 period under the most restrictive case. In terms of the economic viability of various NPPs, we find small modular reactors to be more competitive than large NPPs due to the higher availability factor. Overall, in terms of developing new NPP capacities, policymakers can consider alternative futures for this technology without major implications for the energy transition costs, as retired NPPs can be substituted by alternative generation technologies in a cost-competitive manner.

Suggested Citation

  • Chepeliev, Maksym & Diachuk, Oleksandr & Podolets, Roman & Semeniuk, Andrii, 2023. "What is the future of nuclear power in Ukraine? The role of war, techno-economic drivers, and safety considerations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:178:y:2023:i:c:s0301421523001970
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113612
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421523001970
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113612?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:178:y:2023:i:c:s0301421523001970. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.