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Bayesian spatio-temporal models for stream networks

Author

Listed:
  • Santos-Fernandez, Edgar
  • Ver Hoef, Jay M.
  • Peterson, Erin E.
  • McGree, James
  • Isaak, Daniel J.
  • Mengersen, Kerrie

Abstract

Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas including ecology. The recent proliferation of the use of in-situ sensors in streams and rivers supports space-time water quality modelling and monitoring in near real-time. A new family of spatio-temporal models is introduced. These models incorporate spatial dependence using stream distance while temporal autocorrelation is captured using vector autoregression approaches. Several variations of these novel models are proposed using a Bayesian framework. The results show that our proposed models perform well using spatio-temporal data collected from real stream networks, particularly in terms of out-of-sample RMSPE. This is illustrated considering a case study of water temperature data in the northwestern United States.

Suggested Citation

  • Santos-Fernandez, Edgar & Ver Hoef, Jay M. & Peterson, Erin E. & McGree, James & Isaak, Daniel J. & Mengersen, Kerrie, 2022. "Bayesian spatio-temporal models for stream networks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:170:y:2022:i:c:s0167947322000263
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2022.107446
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    References listed on IDEAS

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