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Adaptive MCMC methods for inference on affine stochastic volatility models with jumps

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Author Info
Davide Raggi

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Abstract

In this paper we propose an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to estimate stochastic volatility models with jumps and affine structure. Our idea relies on the use of adaptive methods that aim at reducing the asymptotic variance of the estimates. We focus on the Delayed Rejection algorithm in order to find accurate proposals and to efficiently simulate the volatility path. Furthermore, Bayesian model selection is addressed through the use of reduced runs of the MCMC together with an auxiliary particle filter necessary to evaluate the likelihood function. An empirical application based on the study of the Dow Jones Composite 65 and of the FTSE 100 financial indexes is presented to study some empirical properties of the algorithm implemented. Copyright 2005 Royal Economic Society

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2005.00162.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Econometrics Journal.

Volume (Year): 8 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 (07)
Pages: 235-250
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Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:8:y:2005:i:2:p:235-250

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  1. S. Bordignon & D. Raggi, 2008. "Volatility, Jumps and Predictability of Returns: a Sequential Analysis," Working Papers 636, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna. [Downloadable!]
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