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Energy–Gdp Relationship: A Causal Analysis For The Five Countries Of South Asia

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Author Info
ASGHAR, Zahid ()

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Abstract

We investigate the causal relationship between GDP and different types of energy consumption for the five South Asian Countries; Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal by using Error Correction Model and Toda and Yamamoto(1995) approach. For Pakistan evidence shows that there is unidirectional Granger causality running from coal to GDP, and unidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to electricity consumption and total energy consumption. For India no causality in either direction between GDP and different energy consumption is detected. For Sri Lanka there is unidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to electricity consumption and total energy consumption. For Bangladesh unidirectional Granger causality is detected from GDP to electricity consumption and from gas consumption to GDP. For Nepal causal direction is from petroleum to GDP.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

Volume (Year): 8 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 167-180
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Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:8:y:2008:i:1_14

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Growth; Granger Causality; Unit Root and cointegration; Error Correction Model; Toda and Yamamoto Procedure;

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  1. Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992. "ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Bollerslev, Tim, 1987. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-47, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Attanasio, Orazio P, 1991. "Risk, Time-Varying Second Moments and Market Efficiency," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 479-94, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Balvers, Ronald J & Cosimano, Thomas F & McDonald, Bill, 1990. " Predicting Stock Returns in an Efficient Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1109-28, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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