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Future Euro Area Membership Of Bulgaria In Terms Of The Business Cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Ivan Todorov

    (Faculty of Economics, South-West University ‘N. Rilski)

  • Aleksandar Aleksandrov

    (Faculty of Economics, South-West University ‘N. Rilski)

  • Kalina Durova

    (Faculty of Economics, South-West University ‘N. Rilski)

Abstract

In the present paper, vector autoregression (VAR) is used to assess the extent to which Bulgaria’s economic cycle is synchronized with the one of the euro area (EA). The main fiscal and monetary factors affecting the coordination of the business cycles of Bulgaria and the EA are identified. Recommendations for macroeconomic policies are formulated to support the synchronization of Bulgaria’s economic cycle with the one of the EA and to prepare our country for the adoption of the euro.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivan Todorov & Aleksandar Aleksandrov & Kalina Durova, 2018. "Future Euro Area Membership Of Bulgaria In Terms Of The Business Cycle," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 4 Year 20, pages 3-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:dat:earchi:y:2018:i:4:p:3-14
    as

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10610/4029
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ivan Todorov & Nikolay Patonov, 2012. "A Few Regressions Onbusiness Cycle Synchronization Between Thenew Member States And The Euro Area," Economics and Management, Faculty of Economics, SOUTH-WEST UNIVERSITY "NEOFIT RILSKI", BLAGOEVGRAD, vol. 8(2), pages 9-22.
    2. Atanas Damyanov & Galin Stefanov, 2010. "Business Cycle Synchronization Between the Bulgarian Economy and the European Union," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 8(2), pages 171-185.
    3. Ivan Todorov, 2013. "The Monetary Integration of the New Member States before the Euro Area Debt Crisis," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 11(4 (Winter), pages 375-390.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bulgaria; membership; euro area; business cycles; synchronization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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