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Do Risk Premia Protect Against Banking Crises?

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  • GERSBACH, HANS
  • WENZELBURGER, JAN

Abstract

This paper examines the question to what extent premia for macroeconomic risks in banking are sufficient to avoid banking crises. We investigate a competitive banking system embedded in an overlapping-generations model subject to repeated macroeconomic shocks. We show that even if banks fully incorporate macroeconomic risks into their pricing of loans, a banking system may enter bankruptcy with probability one. A major cause for this default is that risk premia of a competitive banking system may become too small if the capital base is low.

Suggested Citation

  • Gersbach, Hans & Wenzelburger, Jan, 2008. "Do Risk Premia Protect Against Banking Crises?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(S1), pages 100-111, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:12:y:2008:i:s1:p:100-111_07
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    Cited by:

    1. John Inekwe, 2018. "Financial crises and the extreme bounds of predictors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2047-2067, December.
    2. Gersbach, Hans, 2013. "Bank capital and the optimal capital structure of an economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 241-255.
    3. Ariel M. Viale & Jeff Madura, 2014. "Learning Banks' Exposure To Systematic Risk: Evidence From The Financial Crisis Of 2008," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 37(1), pages 75-98, February.
    4. Shy, Oz & Stenbacka, Rune, 2017. "An overlapping generations model of taxpayer bailouts of banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 71-80.
    5. Hans Gersbach & Jan Wenzelburger, "undated". "Refined Risk Assessment and Banking Stability," Working Papers ETH-RC-13-005, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design.
    6. Oz Shy & Rune Stenbacka, 2019. "Bank competition, real investments, and welfare," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 73-90, June.

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