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Dividend Increases and Initiations and Default Risk in Equity Returns

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  • Charitou, Andreas
  • Lambertides, Neophytos
  • Theodoulou, Giorgos

Abstract

This study extends the Grullon, Michaely, and Swaminathan (2002) analysis by incorporating default risk. Using data for firms that either increased or initiated cash dividend payments during the 23-year period 1986–2008, we find reduction in default risk. This reduction is shown to be a priced risk factor beyond the Fama and French (1993) risk measures, and it explains the dividend payment decision and the positive market reaction around dividend increases and initiations. Further analysis reveals that the reduction in default risk is a significant factor in explaining the 3-year excess returns following dividend increases and initiations.

Suggested Citation

  • Charitou, Andreas & Lambertides, Neophytos & Theodoulou, Giorgos, 2011. "Dividend Increases and Initiations and Default Risk in Equity Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(5), pages 1521-1543, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:46:y:2011:i:05:p:1521-1543_00
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Stephen P. Ferris & Jan Hanousek & Reza Houston, 2022. "Contractor default: Predictions, politics, and penalties in the procurement process," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(4), pages 1001-1039, December.
    2. Saldías, Martín, 2013. "A market-based approach to sector risk determinants and transmission in the euro area," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4534-4555.
    3. Bai-Sian Chen & Hong-Yi Chen & Hsiao-Yin Chen & Fang-Chi Lin, 2022. "Corporate growth and strategic payout policy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 641-669, August.
    4. Ed-Dafali, Slimane & Patel, Ritesh & Iqbal, Najaf, 2023. "A bibliometric review of dividend policy literature," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    5. Ali, Heba & Hegazy, Aya Yasser, 2022. "Dividend policy, risk and the cross-section of stock returns: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 169-192.
    6. Zili Su & Constantinos Alexiou, 2023. "Impact of share pledging by controlling shareholders on firm value in the context of China's tightened regulatory reforms," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(S2), pages 2847-2874, June.
    7. Lee, Bong Soo & Mauck, Nathan, 2016. "Dividend initiations, increases and idiosyncratic volatility," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 47-60.
    8. De Cesari, Amedeo & Huang-Meier, Winifred, 2015. "Dividend changes and stock price informativeness," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-17.
    9. Dimitrios Koutmos & Konstantinos Bozos & Dionysia Dionysiou & Neophytos Lambertides, 2018. "The timing of new corporate debt issues and the risk-return tradeoff," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 943-978, May.
    10. K. H. Nguyen, 2014. "Impact of a dividend initiation wave on shareholder wealth," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 573-586, April.
    11. Cooper, Ian A. & Lambertides, Neophytos, 2018. "Large dividend increases and leverage," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 17-33.
    12. Xiaoting Wei & Cameron Truong & Viet Do, 2020. "When are dividend increases bad for corporate bonds?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(2), pages 1295-1326, June.
    13. Chengzhu Sun & Shujing Wang & Chu Zhang, 2021. "Corporate Payout Policy and Credit Risk: Evidence from Credit Default Swap Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(9), pages 5755-5775, September.
    14. Kanas, Angelos, 2014. "Default risk and equity prices in the U.S. banking sector: Regime switching effects of regulatory changes," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 244-258.
    15. Trinh, Vu Quang & Kara, Alper & Elnahass, Marwa, 2022. "Dividend payout strategies and bank survival likelihood: A cross-country analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    16. von Eije, Henk & Goyal, Abhinav & Muckley, Cal B., 2014. "Does the information content of payout initiations and omissions influence firm risks?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 222-229.

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