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Comprehensive Broiler Supply Chain Model with Vertical and Horizontal Linkages: Impact of US–China Trade War and USMCA

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  • Unveren, Hakan
  • Luckstead, Jeff

Abstract

This paper builds a comprehensive supply chain model of the US broiler industry that accounts for corn and soybean meal, feed mills, breeders, hatcheries, grow-out farms, broiler processing, value-added processing, and international trade. The model is calibrated and simulated to analyze the effects of (1) corn and soybeans tariffs imposed by China and (2) change in the Canadian tariff-rate quota proposed under US–Mexico–Canada–Agreement. The first scenario indicates that feed price falls while supply increases, which decreases the production costs of breeders and grow-out farms. The second scenario shows that exports to Canada rise at the expense of exports to Mexico.

Suggested Citation

  • Unveren, Hakan & Luckstead, Jeff, 2020. "Comprehensive Broiler Supply Chain Model with Vertical and Horizontal Linkages: Impact of US–China Trade War and USMCA," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(3), pages 368-384, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:368-384_3
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    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Karin, 2023. "Media Impact on Consumer Purchasing Decisions: Evidence from Avian Influenza," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335852, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Ridley, William & Devadoss, Stephen, 2024. "Determinants of Policy Responses in the US–China Tit-for-Tat Trade War," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 0(Preprint), January.
    3. William Ridley & Stephen Devadoss, 2023. "Competition and trade policy in the world cotton market: Implications for US cotton exports," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(5), pages 1365-1387, October.
    4. Gregory J. Scott & Enrique Vigo, 2023. "Growth, innovation, and policy for chicken in Latin America 1961–2019," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 41(1), January.
    5. Yazdekhasti, Amin & Wang, Jun & Zhang, Li & Ma, Junfeng, 2021. "A multi-period multi-modal stochastic supply chain model under COVID pandemic: A poultry industry case study in Mississippi," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).

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