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Climate risk and food availability in Guatemala

Author

Listed:
  • Vargas, Renato
  • Cabrera, Maynor
  • Cicowiez, Martin
  • Escobar, Pamela
  • Hernández, Violeta
  • Cabrera, Javier
  • Guzmán, Vivian

Abstract

In this paper, we use a computable general equilibrium model to simulate the effects of drought and a decrease in agricultural productivity caused by climate change in Guatemala. A reduction in agricultural productivity would mean a considerable drop in crop and livestock production, and the resulting higher prices and lower household income would mean a significant reduction in the consumption of agricultural goods and food. The most negative effects of a drought would be concentrated in agriculture, given its intensive use of water. Because agricultural production is essential to ensuring food availability, these results suggest that Guatemala needs a proper water-distribution regulatory framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Vargas, Renato & Cabrera, Maynor & Cicowiez, Martin & Escobar, Pamela & Hernández, Violeta & Cabrera, Javier & Guzmán, Vivian, 2018. "Climate risk and food availability in Guatemala," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 558-579, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:endeec:v:23:y:2018:i:05:p:558-579_00
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Harriet Brookes Gray & Vis Taraz & Simon D. Halliday, 2021. "The Impacts of Weather Shocks on Employment Outcomes: Evidence from South Africa," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 21/752, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    2. Escalante, Luis Enrique & Maisonnave, Helene, 2022. "Impacts of climate disasters on women and food security in Bolivia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    3. Luis Enrique Escalante Ochoa & Hélène Maisonnave, 2021. "Evaluating the regional impacts of climate change on women's well-being, domestic burdens and food security in Bolivia," Working Papers hal-03111958, HAL.
    4. Escalante Ochoa, Luis Enrique & Maisonnave, Helene, 2021. "Evaluating the regional impacts of climate change on women's well-being, domestic burdens and food security in Bolivia," Conference papers 333302, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Simin Mehdipour & Nouzar Nakhaee & Farzaneh Zolala & Maryam Okhovati & Afsar Foroud & Ali Akbar Haghdoost, 2022. "A systematized review exploring the map of publications on the health impacts of drought," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 35-62, August.
    6. Cockburn, John & Henseler, Martin & Maisonnave, Hélène & Tiberti, Luca, 2018. "Vulnerability and policy responses in the face of natural resource discoveries and climate change: introduction," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 517-526, October.
    7. Wade, Christopher M. & Baker, Justin S. & Van Houtven, George & Cai, Yongxia & Lord, Benjamin & Castellanos, Edwin & Leiva, Benjamín & Fuentes, Gabriela & Alfaro, Gabriela & Kondash, AJ & Henry, Candi, 2022. "Opportunities and spatial hotspots for irrigation expansion in Guatemala to support development goals in the food-energy-water nexus," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).

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