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El TLC Colombia-Japón: ¿oportunidad comercial? Un análisis ex-ante

Author

Listed:
  • Stella Venegas Calle
  • Nicolas De la Peña Cárdenas

Abstract

El presente artículo investiga los efectos cuantitativos de una reducción arancelaria entre Colombia y Japón como consecuencia de un posible acuerdo comercial. Utilizando algunos indicadores de dinamismo comercial y un modelo de equilibrio parcial basado en la metodología SMART del Banco Mundial, se estiman los efectos estáticos del comercio. Como resultado, se evidencian las principales características de los grupos de productos que son comerciados bilateralmente y se senalan los potenciales riesgos y beneficios. Se encuentra así que los efectos comerciales son bajos para ambos países y que existen mí- nimos riesgos potenciales, al tiempo que para algunos sectores particulares se identifican oportunidades de exportación.

Suggested Citation

  • Stella Venegas Calle & Nicolas De la Peña Cárdenas, 2019. "El TLC Colombia-Japón: ¿oportunidad comercial? Un análisis ex-ante," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 11(1), pages 65-84, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000443:017775
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    acuerdos comerciales; Colombia; comercio internacional; integración económica; Japón; política pública; TLC; análisis de equilibrio parcial.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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