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Dutch disease and Russia

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  • Katsuya Ito

Abstract

We attempted to investigate empirically whether or not the Dutch disease (de-industrialization) exists in Russia. This study led to the following main findings: (i) manufacturing output in Russia is positively associated with the price of oil, though the response following an oil-price shock is marginal in the short run; (ii) manufacturing output rises slightly even in case of the appreciation of real effective exchange rate; (iii) FDI inflows contribute to the growth of manufacturing output, but not significant; (iv) an increase in government expenditures crowds out the manufacturing sector; and (v) the government has a tight fiscal policy in response to a rise in manufacturing output.

Suggested Citation

  • Katsuya Ito, 2017. "Dutch disease and Russia," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 151, pages 66-70.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2017-q4-151-5
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Edouard Mien & Michaël Goujon, 2022. "40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 64(3), pages 351-383, September.
    2. Alexander Bass, 2018. "Is Groningen Effect Still Present in Russia: A Vector Error Correction Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 273-280.
    3. V. Perskaya V. & E. Dzhagityana P. & В. Перская В. & Э. Джагитянa П., 2017. "Особенности Посткризисных Векторов Прямых Иностранных Инвестиций В Странах Азиатско-Тихоокеанского Региона // Peculiarities Of The Vectors Of Post-Crisis Foreign Direct Investment In The Asia-Pacific ," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 21(6), pages 80-93.
    4. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Li, Xin & Oana-Ramona, Lobonţ, 2022. "Do oil price shocks drive unemployment? Evidence from Russia and Canada," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    5. Rian Hilmawan & Jeremy Clark, 2021. "Resource dependence and the causes of local economic growth: An empirical investigation," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(3), pages 596-626, July.
    6. Hao, Linna & Ahmad, Shabbir & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Knowledge spill-over and institutional quality role in controlling Dutch disease: A case of BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Karunanithi Kriskkumar & Niaz Ahmad Mohd Naseem, 2019. "Analysis of Oil Price Effect on Economic Growth of ASEAN Net Oil Exporters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-19, August.
    8. Shahrestani, Parnia & Rafei, Meysam, 2020. "The impact of oil price shocks on Tehran Stock Exchange returns: Application of the Markov switching vector autoregressive models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Yang, Jinxuan & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Tan, Zhixiong & Umar, Muhammad & Koondhar, Mansoor Ahmed, 2021. "The competing role of natural gas and oil as fossil fuel and the non-linear dynamics of resource curse in Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Ramez Abubakr Badeeb & Jeremy Clark & Abey P. Philip, 2021. "The Nonlinear Effects of Oil Rent Dependence on Malaysian Manufacturing: Implications from Structural Change using a Markov-Regime Switching Model," Working Papers in Economics 21/11, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    11. Vatsa, Puneet & Hu, Baiding, 2021. "Intra-federal effects of oil prices: Evidence from Canada," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Das, Gouranga G. & Ginting, Edimon & Horridge, Mark & Yamano, Takashi, 2023. "Growth Constraints and Structural Diversification for Kyrgyzstan Economy: Policy Analysis of Key Reforms and its Implications," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1250, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    13. Karunanithi Kriskkumar & Niaz Ahmad Mohd Naseem & Wan Ngah Wan Azman-Saini, 2022. "Investigating the Asymmetric Effect of Oil Price on the Economic Growth in Malaysia: Applying Augmented ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL Techniques," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, March.

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