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Business cycle, market power and bank behaviour in emerging countries

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  • Zied Saadaoui

Abstract

This paper tries to overcome the lack of empirical studies on bank cyclical behaviour in emerging countries. According to the literature, market competition is also a relevant determinant of banking stability in emerging countries, but does market power influences the relationship between business cycle and bank behaviour? Drawing from two bodies of literature – business cycle and market power effects on banking stability – this study is the first to give an answer to this question using a quite representative sample of 740 commercial banks installed in 50 emerging countries, observed from 1997 to 2008. Estimation of a simultaneous equations model demonstrates, after several robustness checks that bank capital buffers and loan default risk are negatively correlated with the business cycle, which supports the implementation of the Basel countercyclical prudential tools in emerging countries. The study also shows that market power attenuates the negative relationship between business cycle and bank behaviour, suggesting that banking authorities in emerging countries should also consider the competitive behaviour of banks in implementing countercyclical capital standards.

Suggested Citation

  • Zied Saadaoui, 2014. "Business cycle, market power and bank behaviour in emerging countries," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 139, pages 109-132.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2014-q3-139-6
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Maatoug, Abderrazek & Ben Ayed, Wassim & Ftiti, Zied, 2019. "Are MENA banks’ capital buffers countercyclical? Evidence from the Islamic and conventional banking systems," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 109-118.
    2. Takino, Kazuhiro & Ishinagi, Yoshikazu, 2023. "Are banks risk-averse or risk-neutral investors?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    3. Juan Carlos CUESTAS & Yannick LUCOTTE & Nicolas REIGL, 2019. "Banking sector concentration, competition and financial stability: the case of the Baltic countries," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2731, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    4. Ferdaous Bahri & Taher Hamza, 2020. "The Impact of Market Power on Bank Risk-Taking: an Empirical Investigation," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 11(3), pages 1198-1233, September.
    5. Carvallo Valencia, Oscar & Ortiz Bolaños, Alberto, 2018. "Bank capital buffers around the world: Cyclical patterns and the effect of market power," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 119-131.
    6. Lin, Karen Lai Kai, 2020. "The Cyclical Patterns of Capital Buffers: Evidence from Japanese Banks," Hitotsubashi Journal of commerce and management, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 53(1), pages 49-68, February.
    7. Konstantin Makrelov & Neryvia Pillay & Bojosi Morule, 2023. "Fiscal risks and their impact on banks' capital buffers in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(1), pages 116-134, March.
    8. Saadaoui Zied, 2015. "The Cyclical Behaviour of Bank Capital Buffers: An Empirical Evidence for MENA Banking Systems," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 145-182, August.
    9. Cuestas, Juan Carlos & Lucotte, Yannick & Reigl, Nicolas, 2017. "Banking sector concentration, competition and financial stability: the case of the Baltic countries," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2017-7, Bank of Estonia, revised 11 Sep 2017.
    10. Kouretas, Georgios P. & Pawłowska, Małgorzata, 2020. "Does change in the market structure have any impact on different types of bank loans in the EU?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    11. Hans Degryse & Sanja Jakovljević & Steven Ongena, 2015. "A Review of Empirical Research on the Design and Impact of Regulation in the Banking Sector," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 423-443, December.
    12. Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2019. "Oil and macro-financial linkages: Evidence from the GCC countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-13.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital buffers; Loan default risk; Business cycle; Market power; Emerging countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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