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Eine Anmerkung zur Aussagekraft von Wachstumsraten


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  • Georg Goldrian
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    Kürzlich veröffentlichte das Statistische Bundesamt eine Wachstumsrate des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts für das erste Quartal 2005. Demzufolge nahm das saisonbereinigte BIP gegenüber dem Vorquartal um 1% zu. Das Ausmaß des Wachstums überraschte die Fachwelt. Sieht man aber genauer hin, so muss man zur Kenntnis nehmen, dass infolge der Saisonbereinigung die Aussagekraft der Wachstumsrate nur als ziemlich unscharf eingeschätzt werden kann.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 58 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 13 (07)
    Pages: 47-48

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:58:y:2005:i:13:p:47-48

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    Keywords: Sozialprodukt; Wachstumstheorie; Deutschland;

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    Cited by:
    1. Klaus Abberger, 2005. "Ein Vergleich der Zeitreihen der Erzeugerpreise und der Preiserwartungen im ifo Konjunkturtest für das verarbeitende Gewerbe," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(14), pages 50-51, 07.
    2. Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima: Ein zuverlässiger Frühindikator," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(05), pages 25-30, 03.


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