IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifodre/v25y2018i03p20-24.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Das neue ifo Geschäftsklima Ostdeutschland und Sachsen: Hintergründe und Anpassungen

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Sauer
  • Michael Weber
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

Abstract

Zum April 2018 modernisierte das ifo Institut die Berechnungsregeln für sein vielbeachtetes Geschäfsklima. Damit trägt es der gestiegenen Bedeutung des Dienstleistungssektors Rechnung. Zudem wurden das Aggregationsverfahren geringfügig vereinfacht und das Basisjahr für die Indexberechnung von 2005 auf 2015 umgestellt. Diese Änderungen haben auch Auswirkungen auf die ifo Geschäfsklimaindizes für Ostdeutschland und Sachsen, ihre Teilindizes sowie die Vergleichbarkeit zu den Indizes für Deutschland insgesamt. Die grundlegenden konjunkturellen Aussagen bleiben indes unverändert.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Sauer & Michael Weber & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2018. "Das neue ifo Geschäftsklima Ostdeutschland und Sachsen: Hintergründe und Anpassungen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(03), pages 20-24, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:25:y:2018:i:03:p:20-24
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifoDD_18-03_20-24_Sauer.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2018. "The New ifo Business Climate Index for Germany," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(07), pages 54-60, April.
    2. repec:ces:ifodre:v:24:y:2017:i:6:p:35-36 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Henzel Steffen R. & Wohlrabe Klaus & Lehmann Robert, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
    4. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
    5. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2017. "Vierteljährliche VGR für Sachsen: Ergebnisse für das dritte Quartal 2016," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 24(01), pages 33-34, February.
    6. Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
    7. Jannik André Nauerth, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen Ostdeutschland und Sachsen: Mit gutem Rutsch ins neue Jahr," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(01), pages 37-39, February.
    8. Klaus Wohlrabe & Przemyslaw Wojciechowski, 2014. "Ifo Business Survey of the Service Sector – Background, Explanations and Performance," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(21), pages 47-53, November.
    9. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2017. "Vierteljährliche VGR für Sachsen: Ergebnisse für das erste Quartal 2017," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 24(04), pages 39-40, August.
    10. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Sektorale Prognosen und deren Machbarkeit auf regionaler Ebene – Das Beispiel Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(04), pages 22-29, August.
    11. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
    12. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2017. "Vierteljährliche VGR für Sachsen: Ergebnisse für das vierte Quartal 2016," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 24(03), pages 28-29, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael Weber, 2019. "Mehr Dienstleister im ifo Geschäftsklimaindex," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 26(01), pages 20-22, February.
    2. Michael Berlemann & Vera Jahn & Robert Lehmann, 2018. "Ways Out of the Empirical Mittelstand Research Dilemma," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(23), pages 22-28, December.
    3. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2018. "Das neue ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(09), pages 34-36, May.
    4. Sabine Rumscheidt, 2020. "Industries in Focus: Wholesale Trade with Chemical Products," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(03), pages 64-67, March.
    5. Artem Marjenko & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Die neue Kredithürde: Hintergründe und Ergebnisse," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(18), pages 46-48, September.
    6. Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Weltweite Prognosen des Bruttoinlandsprodukts mit Hilfe der Indikatoren des ifo World Economic Survey," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(15), pages 36-39, August.
    7. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "Business Survey in Focus: German Economy in Coronavirus Shock," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(04), pages 44-47, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Robert Lehmann & Felix Leiss & Simon Litsche & Stefan Sauer & Michael Weber & Annette Weichselberger & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Mit den ifo-Umfragen regionale Konjunktur verstehen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(09), pages 45-49, May.
    2. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
    3. João C. Claudio & Katja Heinisch & Oliver Holtemöller, 2020. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 29-54, January.
    4. Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," MPRA Paper 112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
    6. Luca Barbaglia & Lorenzo Frattarolo & Niko Hauzenberger & Dominik Hirschbuehl & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Papers 2401.10054, arXiv.org.
    7. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
    8. María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers 1904, Banco de España.
    9. Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2021. "Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 215-232, November.
    10. Konstantin Kuck & Karsten Schweikert, 2021. "Forecasting Baden‐Württemberg's GDP growth: MIDAS regressions versus dynamic mixed‐frequency factor models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 861-882, August.
    11. Guilherme Lindenmeyer & Pedro Pablo Skorin & Hudson da Silva Torrent, 2021. "Using boosting for forecasting electric energy consumption during a recession: a case study for the Brazilian State Rio Grande do Sul," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 111-128, August.
    12. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "The Ifo Business Climate and the German Economy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
    13. Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Machbarkeit von Kurzfristprognosen für den Freistaat Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 21-25, August.
    14. Franziska Fobbe & Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Electric Motors, Energy Supply and Education: the Quality of Ifo’s Production-Side Short-Term Forecast," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 58-63, June.
    15. Michael Berlemann & Vera Jahn & Robert Lehmann, 2018. "Ways Out of the Empirical Mittelstand Research Dilemma," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(23), pages 22-28, December.
    16. Mitze, Timo & Makkonen, Teemu, 2023. "Can large-scale RDI funding stimulate post-crisis recovery growth? Evidence for Finland during COVID-19," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PB).
    17. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Regional economic forecasting: state-of-the-art methodology and future challenges," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 218-231.
    18. Cuevas Ángel & Quilis Enrique M. & Espasa Antoni, 2015. "Quarterly Regional GDP Flash Estimates by Means of Benchmarking and Chain Linking," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 31(4), pages 627-647, December.
    19. Lessmann, Christian & Seidel, André, 2017. "Regional inequality, convergence, and its determinants – A view from outer space," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 110-132.
    20. Sabine Rumscheidt, 2017. "Die ifo Konjunkturumfrage im Großhandel – Frühindikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung der Branche?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(11), pages 49-54, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:25:y:2018:i:03:p:20-24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.