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Mehr als Kaffeesatzleserei: Eine Evaluation der ifo Prognosen zur Erwerbstätigkeit in Ostdeutschland und Sachsen

Author

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  • Robert Lehmann
  • Michael Weber

Abstract

Seit über zehn Jahren veröffentlicht das ifo Institut Prognosen zur Entwicklung der Erwerbstätigkeit in Ostdeutschland und Sachsen. Über die Jahre hat sich die Prognosegüte durch eine Weiterentwicklung des Prognoseinstrumentariums kontinuierlich verbessert. Am aktuellen Rand wurde die Entwicklung der Erwerbstätigkeit in Ostdeutschland punktgenau getroffen.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Lehmann & Michael Weber, 2016. "Mehr als Kaffeesatzleserei: Eine Evaluation der ifo Prognosen zur Erwerbstätigkeit in Ostdeutschland und Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 23(02), pages 22-26, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:23:y:2016:i:02:p:22-26
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifoDD-16-02-Lehmann.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Lehmann & Michael Weber, 2014. "Der Blick in die Glaskugel wird schärfer: EineEvaluation der Treffsicherheit der ifo DresdenKonjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(03), pages 45-46, June.
    2. Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2014. "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(17), pages 43-45, September.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2016. "Business Cycle 2015: Forecast and Reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(03), pages 34-40, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Franziska Fobbe & Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Electric Motors, Energy Supply and Education: the Quality of Ifo’s Production-Side Short-Term Forecast," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 58-63, June.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply

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