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L'impact des signaux de politique monétaire sur la volatilité intrajournalière du taux de change Deutsche Mark-dollar

Author

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  • Aurélie Boubel
  • Sébastien Laurent
  • Christelle Lecourt

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the impact of monetary policy signals stemming from the Bundesbank Council and the FOMC on the intradaily Deutsche Mark-dollar volatility (five minutes frequency). For that, we estimate an AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model, which integrates a polynomials structure depending on signal variables, on the deseasonalized exchange rate returns series. This structure allows us to test the signals persistence one hour after their occurrence and to reveal a dissymmetry between the effect of the Bundesbank and the Federal Reserve signals on the exchange rate volatility. Classification JEL : C22, F31, G15

Suggested Citation

  • Aurélie Boubel & Sébastien Laurent & Christelle Lecourt, 2001. "L'impact des signaux de politique monétaire sur la volatilité intrajournalière du taux de change Deutsche Mark-dollar," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 52(2), pages 353-370.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_522_0353
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    Cited by:

    1. Uctum, Remzi & Renou-Maissant, Patricia & Prat, Georges & Lecarpentier-Moyal, Sylvie, 2017. "Persistence of announcement effects on the intraday volatility of stock returns: Evidence from individual data," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 43-56.
    2. Sylvie Lecarpentier-Moyal & Georges Prat & Patricia Renou-Maissant & Remzi Uctum, 2013. "Persistence of announcement effects on the intraday volatility of stock returns: evidence from individual data," Working Papers hal-04141172, HAL.
    3. Darmoul Mokhtar & Nizar Harrathi, 2007. "Monetary information arrivals and intraday exchange rate volatility: a comparison of the GARCH and the EGARCH models," Post-Print halshs-00174996, HAL.
    4. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-027 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:ipg:wpaper:27 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Darmoul Mokhtar, 2006. "The impact of monetary policy signals on the intradaily euro-dollar volatility," Post-Print halshs-00118789, HAL.
    7. Darmoul Mokhtar, 2006. "The impact of monetary policy signals on the intradaily Euro-dollar volatility," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques bla06049, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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