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Deux ou trois enfants ?. Influence de la politique familiale et de quelques facteurs sociodémographiques

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  • Didier Breton
  • France Prioux
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    Abstract

    French family policy has always provided specific support to families with three or more children, over the period 1978-1982 in particular. The authors discuss the effectiveness of this policy by comparing fertility at birth order three and above in France and western Europe and by observing changes in the proportion of mothers of two children who have progressed to a third child (parity progression ratio A 2) since the 1970s. They show that targeting policy on the third child did indeed influence the frequency of these births, but that this influence is limited and difficult to quantify. The article then focuses on the characteristics associated with the parity progression ratio A 2. The PPR is most strongly influenced by age at second birth, the length of the interval between the second and third births and nationality. All the other variables examined ? sex of first two children, parents? sibship size, union history, mother?s occupational history, educational attainment and socio-occupational category of each partner ? are significant, even after controlling for structural effects. Recent tendencies, notably the increase in age at second birth, point to an ongoing downward trend in the probability of having a third child.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED) in its journal Population.

    Volume (Year): 60 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 4 ()
    Pages: 489-522

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    Handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_504_0489

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    Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-population.htm

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    Cited by:
    1. Julie Moschion, 2009. "Mothers' Labour Supply in France: the Causal Effect of Shifting from Two to Three Children," Economie et Statistique, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, vol. 422, pages 51-78, November.
    2. Anne Gauthier, 2007. "The impact of family policies on fertility in industrialized countries: a review of the literature," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 323-346, June.

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