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Con Job: An Estimate of Ex‐Felon Voter Turnout Using Document‐Based Data

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  • Michael V. Haselswerdt

Abstract

Objective. Ex‐felon voter turnout was estimated for the first time using government records rather than statistical models. Statistical models have estimated that 25–35 percent of eligible ex‐felons would vote in federal elections. Methods. Six‐hundred‐sixty recently released ex‐felons in Erie County, NY, who would have been legally eligible to register and vote in 2004 or 2005, were compared with data from the Erie County Board of Elections to determine whether they registered and voted in either 2004 or 2005. Results. Five percent this population of ex‐felons voted in either 2004 or 2005. Conclusions. Single‐digit turnout among ex‐felons raises questions about the assumptions underlying statistical estimates, and it also suggests that elections would have to be very close for ex‐felons to have an impact on the results.

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  • Michael V. Haselswerdt, 2009. "Con Job: An Estimate of Ex‐Felon Voter Turnout Using Document‐Based Data," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 90(2), pages 262-273, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:90:y:2009:i:2:p:262-273
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6237.2009.00616.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thomas J. Miles, 2004. "Felon Disenfranchisement and Voter Turnout," The Journal of Legal Studies, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(1), pages 85-129, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Klumpp, Tilman & Mialon, Hugo M. & Williams, Michael A., 2017. "The Voting Rights of Ex-Felons and Election Outcomes in the United States," Working Papers 2017-3, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    2. Marc Meredith & Michael Morse, 2014. "Do Voting Rights Notification Laws Increase Ex-Felon Turnout?," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 651(1), pages 220-249, January.

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