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Testing the Null of Co-integration in the Presence of Variance Breaks

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Author Info
Giuseppe Cavaliere
A. M. Robert Taylor

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Abstract

We show that changes in the innovation covariance matrix of a vector of series can generate spurious rejections of the null hypothesis of co-integration when applying standard residual-based co-integration tests. A bootstrap solution to the inference problem is suggested which is shown to perform well in practice, redressing the size problems associated with the standard test but not losing power relative to the standard test under the alternative. Copyright 2006 The Authors Journal compilation 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-9892.2006.00475.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Time Series Analysis.

Volume (Year): 27 (2006)
Issue (Month): 4 (07)
Pages: 613-636
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:27:y:2006:i:4:p:613-636

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  1. Giuseppe Cavaliere & Anders Rahbek & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Co-integration in Vector Autoregressions with Non-Stationary Volatility," Discussion Papers 08-34, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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