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Autoregressive Modeling of Earnings-Investment Causality

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Author Info
Bar Yosef, Sasson
Callen, Jeffrey L
Livnat, Joshua
Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to empirically test the relationships between corporate earnings and investment. In particular, the study investigates whether knowledge of past investments improves the prediction of future earnings beyond predictions that are based on past earnings alone. Similarly, it investigates whether knowledge of past earnings improve the prediction of future investments beyond knowledge of past investments alone. This is the empirical definition of Granger causality. The empirical results show that the bivariate past series of earnings and investments is superior to the univariate series in predicting future investment, but not in predicting future earnings. Copyright 1987 by American Finance Association.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 42 (1987)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 11-28
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:42:y:1987:i:1:p:11-28

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