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In Search of a Stylised Fact: Do Real Wages Exhibit a Consistent Pattern of Cyclical Variability?

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Author Info
Brandolini, Andrea

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Abstract

The paper surveys the studies on the cyclical behavior of real wages published from the twenties onwards. Both traditional simple neoclassical and Keynesian models of the labour market suggest that real wages tend to move countercyclically. However, from a theoretical viewpoint, there are few reasons to expect this behavior, once the simple model is extended to account for imperfect competition, uncertainty, lagged responses, or contracting between firms and workers. Empirical studies give different answers to the problem. The contributions reviewed in the paper are arranged roughly in chronological order: the interwar period, the postwar pre-econometric studies, the econometric work using aggregate data, the evidence produced on the basis of longitudinal data, the analyses of the shock-responsiveness of real wages, and, finally, the most recent papers attempting a reconciliation of the somewhat conflicting evidence derived from aggregate and panel data. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Economic Surveys.

Volume (Year): 9 (1995)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 103-63
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:9:y:1995:i:2:p:103-63

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  1. Anabela Carneiro & Pedro Portugal, 2007. "Workers’ Flows and Real Wage Cyclicality," IZA Discussion Papers 2604, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Giuseppe Bertola & Richard Rogerson, 1996. "Institutions and Labor Reallocation," NBER Working Papers 5828, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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