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Yield Curve Risk in Japanese Government Bond Markets

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  • Kenneth J. Singleton

Abstract

This paper characterizes the nature of yield curve risk in the Japanese government bond (JGB) market, and explores the effectiveness of risk management based on a linear factor representation of yield curve risk. The implied optimal hedges against factor risk are related to duration‐based hedging strategies, which are shown in many cases to be substantially sub‐optimal. In addition, the drift over time in optimal hedge ratios due to the local nature of optimal hedging is investigated. The results show substantial drift especially for the weights on the factor representing the risk of a changing slope of the JGB yield curve. Though our focus is on government bond markets, the findings have implications for risk management for most interest‐sensitive instruments, especially those that are priced relative to government bonds (e.g. corporate bonds).

Suggested Citation

  • Kenneth J. Singleton, 2000. "Yield Curve Risk in Japanese Government Bond Markets," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 1(2), pages 97-121, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:1:y:2000:i:2:p:97-121
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-2443.00007
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    Cited by:

    1. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2016. "Emerging trends in Asia-Pacific finance research: A review of recent influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 66-76.
    2. Dufour, Alfonso & Stancu, Andrei & Varotto, Simone, 2017. "The equity-like behaviour of sovereign bonds," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 25-46.

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