Information Transfer Effects of Bond Rating Downgrades
AbstractThis paper investigates information transfer effects of bond rating downgrades measured by equity abnormal returns for industry portfolios. Industry rivals can be subject to two opposing effects, the contagion effect and the competition effect. We find that the net effect is strongly dependent on the original bond rating of the downgraded firm. For investment-grade (speculative-grade) firms, industry abnormal equity returns are negative (positive), which implies a predominant "contagion (competition)" effect. The analysis reveals a rich pattern of positive and negative correlations across negative credit events, which can be used to improve our understanding of portfolio credit risk models. Copyright (c) 2010, The Eastern Finance Association.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Eastern Finance Association in its journal Financial Review.
Volume (Year): 45 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (08)
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- Luís M. S. Coelho & Rúben M. T. Peixinho & Siri Terjensen, 2012. "Going concern opinions are not bad news: Evidence from industry rivals," Working Papers Department of Economics 2012/16, ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon.
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0904.1653, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2010.
- Finnerty, John D. & Miller, Cameron D. & Chen, Ren-Raw, 2013. "The impact of credit rating announcements on credit default swap spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2011-2030.
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