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Information Transfer Effects of Bond Rating Downgrades

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  • Philippe Jorion
  • Gaiyan Zhang

Abstract

This paper investigates information transfer effects of bond rating downgrades measured by equity abnormal returns for industry portfolios. Industry rivals can be subject to two opposing effects, the contagion effect and the competition effect. We find that the net effect is strongly dependent on the original bond rating of the downgraded firm. For investment-grade (speculative-grade) firms, industry abnormal equity returns are negative (positive), which implies a predominant "contagion (competition)" effect. The analysis reveals a rich pattern of positive and negative correlations across negative credit events, which can be used to improve our understanding of portfolio credit risk models. Copyright (c) 2010, The Eastern Finance Association.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Eastern Finance Association in its journal Financial Review.

Volume (Year): 45 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (08)
Pages: 683-706

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Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:45:y:2010:i:3:p:683-706

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Web page: http://www.easternfinance.org/
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Cited by:
  1. Luís M.S. Coelho & Ruben M.T. Peixinho & Siri Terjensen, 2011. "The intraindustry effects of going concern audit reports," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2011_23, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
  2. Areski Cousin & Diana Dorobantu & Didier Rulli�re, 2013. "An extension of Davis and Lo's contagion model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 407-420, February.
  3. Ann Marie Hibbert & Ivelina Pavlova & Joel Barber & Krishnan Dandapani, 2011. "Credit Spread Changes and Equity Volatility: Evidence from Daily Data," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 46(3), pages 357-383, 08.
  4. Finnerty, John D. & Miller, Cameron D. & Chen, Ren-Raw, 2013. "The impact of credit rating announcements on credit default swap spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2011-2030.
  5. Finn Marten Körner & Hans-Michael Trautwein, 2013. "Sovereign Credit Ratings and the Transnationalization of Finance - Evidence from a Gravity Model of Portfolio Investment," ZenTra Working Papers in Transnational Studies 20 / 2013, ZenTra - Center for Transnational Studies, revised Feb 2014.
  6. Luís M. S. Coelho & Rúben M. T. Peixinho & Siri Terjensen, 2012. "Going concern opinions are not bad news: Evidence from industry rivals," Working Papers Department of Economics 2012/16, ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon.

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