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The Pricing of Italian Equity Returns

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  • Annalisa Aleati
  • Pietro Gottardo
  • Maurizio Murgia

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> In this paper, we investigate the relationship between common risk factors and average returns for Italian stocks. Our research has identified the Italian stock market's economic variables by using the results from factor analyses and time series regressions. We study several multi-factor models combining the relevant macroeconomic variables with the mimicking equity portfolios SMB (small minus big) and HML (high minus low) proposed by Fama and French (1993). The key question we want to ask ourselves, is whether the influential role of the size and book-to-market equity factors in explaining average stock returns can stand up well when competing with some macroeconomic factors. In other words, do stock returns carry some risk premium that is independent of either the market return or the economic forces that underlie the common variation in returns? Our empirical work estimates risk premiums using both traditional two-pass procedures and one-pass (full information) methodologies. We show that only the market index and variables linked to interest rate shifts are consistently priced in the Italian stock returns. The role of other factors, and in particular both the size and the price-to book ratio, are crucially dependent on the estimation procedure. (J.E.L.: G11, G12).

Suggested Citation

  • Annalisa Aleati & Pietro Gottardo & Maurizio Murgia, 2000. "The Pricing of Italian Equity Returns," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 29(2), pages 153-177, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:29:y:2000:i:2:p:153-177
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1468-0300.00028
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    Cited by:

    1. Fahad Ali & RongRong He & YueXiang Jiang, 2018. "Size, Value and Business Cycle Variables. The Three-Factor Model and Future Economic Growth: Evidence from an Emerging Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-24, February.
    2. Wu, Po-Chin & Liu, Shiao-Yen & Chen, Che-Ying, 2016. "Re-examining risk premiums in the Fama–French model: The role of investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 154-171.
    3. Paola Brighi & Stefano d'Addona & Antonio Carlo Francesco Della Bina, 2010. "Too Small or too Low? New Evidence on the 4-Factor Model," Working Paper series 31_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    4. Pheng Bian Ong & Mohamed Hisham Hanifa & Mansor Mohd Isa, 2018. "Do Firm Size and Value Affect Shareholder Returns in Malaysia?," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 26(2), pages 53-69.
    5. Nawazish Mirza, 2008. "Size and value premium in Karachi stock exchange," CREB Working papers 1-2008, Centre for Research in Economics and Business, The Lahore School of Economics, revised 2008.
    6. Antonio Roma, 2022. "Is the value effect due to M&A deals? Evidence from the Italian stock market," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(1), February.
    7. Ayesha Afzal & Nawazish Mirza, 2011. "Size and Value Premium in International Portfolios: Evidence from 15 European Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(2), pages 173-190, June.
    8. PAOLA BRIGHI & STEFANO d'ADDONA & ANTONIO CARLO FRANCESCO DELLA BINA, 2013. "The Determinants of Risk Premia on the Italian Stock Market: Empirical Evidence on Common Factors in Asset Pricing Models," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 42(2), pages 103-133, July.
    9. Nawazish Mirza & Saima Shahid, 2008. "Size and Value Premium inKarachi Stock Exchange," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 13(2), pages 1-26, Jul-Dec.
    10. Romilda Mazzotta & Stefania Veltri, 2014. "The relationship between corporate governance and the cost of equity capital. Evidence from the Italian stock exchange," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 18(2), pages 419-448, May.
    11. Antonella Silvestri & Stefania Veltri, 2012. "A Test Of The Ohlson Model On The Italian Stock Exchange," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(1), pages 83-94.
    12. Anna Pirogova & Antonio Roma, 2020. "Performance of value‐ and size‐based strategies in the Italian stock market," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(1), February.

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